AI · resolved market
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6658afc37e5479fdf54f6a43c2fce50c9acc72aae9762e23f9d871912ac8a15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $747,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $821,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $747,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 591 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc24b…7281backed No | 35c | 59,534$20,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,836.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc1…4485backed Yes | 65c | 59,534$38,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,836.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…a108backed No | 44c | 30,576$13,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,453.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacc7…352bbacked Yes | 56c | 30,576$17,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,453.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 42c | 27,328$11,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,942.16 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Yes | 73c | 23,528$17,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…03a0backed Yes | 38c | 7,083$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,423.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 31c | 6,704$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.74 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Yes | 75c | 6,464$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,603.57 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked No | 38c | 6,313$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.75 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 77c | 6,032$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.1 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 43c | 5,179$2,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,953.54 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…7562backed Yes | 67c | 5,050$3,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,999.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…4cf4backed No | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked No | 66c | 4,981$3,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,264.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 18c | 4,763$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.56 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…cf93backed Yes | 52c | 4,520$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,161.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes | 46c | 4,176$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,246.04 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…6b71backed Yes | 57c | 3,886$2,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…f215backed Yes | 50c | 3,855$1,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.92 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 56c | 3,634$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 38c | 3,478$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.16 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed Yes | 68c | 3,247$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 69c | 3,099$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 41c | 2,908$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.57 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1317…ad95backed Yes | 35c | 2,819$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 22c | 2,757$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.5 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -71%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9afdbacked Yes | 71c | 2,707$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.89 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 48c | 2,504$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.79 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…cbeabacked Yes | 65c | 2,403$1,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0329…8519backed Yes | 79c | 2,307$1,822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked Yes | 59c | 2,300$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950.19 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed Yes | 74c | 2,290$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…ffecbacked Yes | 50c | 2,151$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.78 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…8bacbacked Yes | 64c | 2,037$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9dc1backed Yes | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 24cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed No | 34c | 1,948$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.16 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 78c | 1,863$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.51 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca2a…e2c7backed Yes | 78c | 1,800$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 1,679$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.81 | 731 | 35.6%260 W · 471 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 44c | 1,636$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe272…f9dfbacked Yes | 64c | 1,561$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 69c | 1,560$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$481.83 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd822…697bbacked Yes | 45c | 1,556$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef2f…dd1cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 54c | 1,499$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.96 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…aa4dbacked Yes | 71c | 1,460$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 72c | 1,452$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.51 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Yes | 47c | 1,444$686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aed…8718backed Yes | 75c | 1,432$1,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Yes | 71c | 1,410$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 65c | 1,408$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.63 | 460 | 38.9%179 W · 281 L | -31.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x358a…d45fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,301$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.32 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…2825backed Yes | 70c | 1,258$886 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.12 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3418…a3f2backed Yes | 27c | 1,234$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.84 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0607…8bc8backed Yes | 76c | 1,177$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.19 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 1,155$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.24 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…01e0backed Yes | 58c | 1,120$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 62c | 1,117$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa862…46e2backed Yes | 47c | 1,106$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.34 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2154…715cbacked Yes | 70c | 1,101$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 50c | 1,082$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 31c | 1,072$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.56 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…64a8backed Yes | 77c | 1,066$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…e590backed Yes | 69c | 1,053$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 47c | 1,051$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.89 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 68c | 1,044$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…6221backed No | 31c | 1,030$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Yes | 75c | 1,008$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae78…701cbacked Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed No | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288e…9ca7backed Yes | 62c | 991.48$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Yes | 68c | 985.36$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 31c | 950.12$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.54 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed No | 67c | 950.03$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$634.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed No | 14c | 948.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.86 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 51c | 937.19$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.78 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29fe…9b8abacked Yes | 64c | 904.11$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 16c | 899.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x918a…aa22backed Yes | 49c | 885.96$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 70c | 883.87$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.02 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…3219backed Yes | 68c | 879.18$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…f157backed Yes | 52c | 847.59$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe955…47d8backed Yes | 54c | 831.48$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 54c | 801.93$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.89 | 90 | 41.1%37 W · 53 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacfe…c247backed Yes | 39c | 800$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbda7…fc55backed Yes | 68c | 787.97$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.52 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4473…f245backed Yes | 75c | 780$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 57c | 772.84$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 36c | 758.94$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…10fabacked Yes | 66c | 758.12$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 45c | 750.13$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 52c | 742.71$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 712.51$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.74 | 258 | 31.8%82 W · 176 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3f…de34backed Yes | 74c | 674.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c49…0144backed No | 34c | 670$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db4…4e27backed Yes | 66c | 670$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab1…7df3backed Yes | 73c | 656.52$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +328.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf631…1d27backed Yes | 59c | 645.88$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.