AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0d3bb1f659aff929f67eb3bf413e7e7d50894881f3e7945a61d6b8b1e94a8d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $302,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $253,470
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xce21…d5f5backed Yes | 42c | 37,451$15,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,729.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa791…8b9dbacked No | 58c | 37,451$21,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,729.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 1c | 23,498$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 45c | 15,343$6,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,944.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 0c | 14,018$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 0c | 10,346$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.31 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +94.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc288…edb1backed Yes | 13c | 7,523$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.29 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 0c | 7,133$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 15c | 3,815$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.24 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f8…0930backed Yes | 15c | 3,654$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 0c | 3,538$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 2,569$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.17 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 2c | 2,397$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 3c | 2,248$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 13c | 2,171$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.04 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 2,088$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Yes | 68c | 2,020$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Yes | 22c | 2,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…155ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,727$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.2 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6da5…a86bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,539$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.36 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Yes | 5c | 1,528$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 9c | 1,500$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.99 | 126 | 36.5%46 W · 80 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 1,441$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…1af8backed Yes | 30c | 1,421$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8600…db1ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,339$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd188…f605backed Yes | 33c | 1,201$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c03…8b7bbacked No | 75c | 1,172$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.09 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 2c | 1,136$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…1fa7backed Yes | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b3a…783ebacked Yes | 10c | 999.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d7…6977backed Yes | 12c | 959.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 9c | 933.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.58 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…0a70backed Yes | 19c | 916.09$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…81b1backed Yes | 12c | 855.73$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed No | 12c | 840.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.46 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 43c | 799.99$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 457 | 38.9%178 W · 279 L | -31.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 17c | 700.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.26 | 257 | 31.5%81 W · 176 L | -14.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked Yes | 11c | 700$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 73c | 687.05$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.35 | 729 | 35.5%259 W · 470 L | -57.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e63…7e29backed Yes | 55c | 633.36$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x111f…af00backed Yes | 34c | 513.43$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b86…53d7backed Yes | 75c | 500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1804…90c9backed Yes | 23c | 492.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +300.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 40c | 453.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 9c | 452$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821f…c3ffbacked Yes | 5c | 431.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdff1…de19backed Yes | 9c | 410.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a10…8b30backed Yes | 37c | 410$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed Yes | 5c | 404.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0da…ff63backed Yes | 3c | 395.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 46c | 372.03$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f72…9a74backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 46cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…6bcdbacked Yes | 4c | 342.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 20c | 332.62$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 43c | 302.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.96 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Yes | 23c | 300$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 13c | 281.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 251 | 22.7%57 W · 194 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 19c | 267.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ef…899abacked Yes | 23c | 263.49$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed Yes | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd757…94aabacked Yes | 66c | 246.48$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.73 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed No | 32c | 242$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…535ebacked Yes | 31c | 233.34$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 26c | 233.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 31c | 224.6$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.34 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…b49fbacked Yes | 11c | 218.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc7…2035backed Yes | 16c | 217.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0343…2ecdbacked Yes | 58c | 214.76$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…0331backed Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…8cd4backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…eeaebacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 13c | 199.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b2…6ec0backed Yes | 72c | 198.42$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe610…f8d8backed Yes | 26c | 195.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4685…fe25backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed No | 39c | 171.37$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.81 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 25c | 167.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.95 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 67c | 162.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.53 | 185 | 44.3%82 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 35c | 160$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…e2f5backed Yes | 21c | 155.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…3b20backed Yes | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3301…da88backed No | 34c | 140$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e9…a493backed Yes | 12c | 130$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…7cbebacked Yes | 58c | 112.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcb…c5bebacked Yes | 61c | 107.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9d…35c4backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -73.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…2916backed Yes | 15c | 99.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed No | 12c | 94.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.12 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…4137backed Yes | 68c | 88.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2510…60adbacked Yes | 59c | 84.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 32c | 83.17$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.4 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb0…28b5backed Yes | 69c | 77.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…d80fbacked Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4a…5ad8backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes won
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.