AI · resolved market
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed9b1464b36b9ba172b8d4d069ead20590653d84920309f86e2dca201a7d8a8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $714,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $581,769
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 469 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd06b…4faebacked Yes | 23c | 39,439$9,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,106.44 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 15c | 33,185$4,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 10cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08d8…bb1bbacked Yes | 45c | 31,850$14,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,459.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3394…2373backed No | 55c | 31,850$17,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,459.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 44c | 31,331$13,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,896.57 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 38c | 23,298$8,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,906.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 64c | 23,093$14,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,858.02 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.3wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…03a0backed Yes | 26c | 14,234$3,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,764.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4825…5ec5backed Yes | 48c | 13,044$6,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,234.87 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 18c | 11,835$2,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,113.35 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df9…6b44backed Yes | 7c | 9,470$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.28 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3a…0d29backed Yes | 45c | 6,784$3,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,086.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 33c | 6,414$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,107.79 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 6,390$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 3cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16f…6df1backed Yes | 55c | 6,305$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc40…4036backed Yes | 64c | 5,874$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 28c | 5,148$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,459.02 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 10cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked Yes | 19c | 4,503$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$845.62 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb45…d6babacked Yes | 50c | 4,483$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…7562backed No | 67c | 4,452$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.81 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 48cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc404…1af8backed Yes | 39c | 4,012$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 16c | 3,916$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.86 | 211 | 0.9%2 W · 209 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 7cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14af…52e5backed Yes | 38c | 3,716$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb8…d906backed No | 58c | 3,668$2,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.76 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 22c | 3,659$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b5…d7adbacked Yes | 3c | 3,592$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c4…4126backed Yes | 4c | 3,352$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 13cpaid | +256.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc654…f0debacked Yes | 37c | 3,285$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 64c | 3,196$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.01 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 8c | 3,113$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.72 | 243 | 15.2%37 W · 206 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…2433backed Yes | 31c | 3,100$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…0ff0backed No | 53c | 3,100$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524c…64c8backed Yes | 30c | 3,093$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.37 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe58…ee71backed Yes | 48c | 3,021$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 58c | 2,957$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,255.4 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 36c | 2,914$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.61 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 4c | 2,808$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.69 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…13d1backed Yes | 59c | 2,651$1,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,569 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 22c | 2,600$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.85 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 2,595$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.52 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 47c | 2,504$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.02 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 49c | 2,500$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.87 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…77ecbacked Yes | 26c | 2,467$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 8c | 2,442$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.06 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4a…104fbacked Yes | 24c | 2,409$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00c0…c91ebacked No | 75c | 2,323$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c46…a137backed Yes | 5c | 2,158$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,113$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 156 | 15.4%24 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb04d…12d3backed Yes | 66c | 2,106$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d2e…c986backed No | 78c | 2,000$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6021…31a6backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…f241backed Yes | 51c | 1,921$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52a3…e236backed Yes | 4c | 1,819$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf374…aa4dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,783$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a0…f0efbacked Yes | 1c | 1,776$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe6…b39ebacked Yes | 29c | 1,762$507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.69 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6136…5dcdbacked Yes | 67c | 1,699$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,138.46 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.18per pick | 69cpaid | +28%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23b9…4267backed Yes | 62c | 1,654$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Yes | 78c | 1,648$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51de…c4d1backed No | 54c | 1,636$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 31c | 1,551$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.26 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…fbc2backed Yes | 40c | 1,472$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.68 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 4c | 1,393$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | +13.1wins | +0.14per pick | 21cpaid | +167%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 1,353$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.21 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 3c | 1,323$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 105 | 1.9%2 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -81.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6478…548fbacked Yes | 23c | 1,303$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Yes | 66c | 1,300$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa074…f1c9backed Yes | 8c | 1,237$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +287.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x843c…8405backed Yes | 57c | 1,207$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa19…fb67backed Yes | 11c | 1,135$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.57 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 24c | 1,134$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e3…d432backed Yes | 41c | 1,132$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d1…e590backed Yes | 61c | 1,105$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…b5f7backed Yes | 28c | 1,071$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe2…074fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,056$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Yes | 35c | 1,034$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…1befbacked Yes | 2c | 1,032$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x372a…7201backed Yes | 26c | 1,009$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…2916backed Yes | 4c | 999.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -50%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Yes | 44c | 991.41$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.64 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe158…9d56backed Yes | 40c | 966.14$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.44 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5e…f157backed Yes | 31c | 946.7$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdba6…79d3backed Yes | 64c | 932.16$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…74d6backed Yes | 7c | 900.49$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3e…e98fbacked Yes | 34c | 876.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…2ae8backed No | 74c | 869.2$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.38 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…e7edbacked Yes | 31c | 864.91$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 42c | 852.09$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.41 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 69c | 780.78$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.54 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab74…1b45backed No | 64c | 779.65$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 11c | 772.85$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 198 | 34.8%69 W · 129 L | -23.7wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…35b1backed No | 72c | 764.68$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6476…0a70backed Yes | 5c | 763.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…63dabacked Yes | 53c | 760.16$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b91…2709backed Yes | 5c | 759.07$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…ffecbacked Yes | 69c | 754.76$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.82 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cf…ea6cbacked Yes | 34c | 728.9$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?this page
- Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Google be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes won
- Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on May 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.