TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,580
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$69,275

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,580 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under54c25,893$14,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,842.921,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over45c10,674$4,839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,838.933,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over46c10,613$4,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,915.335444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Under54c7,194$3,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,310.8534654%187 W · 159 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over45c4,633$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c4,052$1,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,843.625,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under55c2,385$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.46,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over46c2,342$1,088 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Under55c2,054$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.274951%25 W · 24 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,531$781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.3750754.2%275 W · 232 L+13.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under55c1,500$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67522752%118 W · 109 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Under57c1,305$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.261,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe77f…8793backed Over42c1,165$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.114531.1%14 W · 31 L-7.3wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-22.5%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xddba…867fbacked Over45c1,081$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.51435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013260.6%80 W · 52 L+14.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4502450%12 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over45c933$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.851,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c905$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.038,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over45c718.88$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.595651.5%492 W · 464 L+23.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over45c583$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.352,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under55c459$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.5585147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,15747.9%554 W · 603 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Under56c433.93$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9362347.5%296 W · 327 L-17.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over46c405$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.352,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18421858.7%128 W · 90 L+17.1wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed Under54c374.02$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0413957.6%80 W · 59 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f5…eb92backed Over46c371.17$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under55c243.84$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.2263745.8%292 W · 345 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over46c240$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.61,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Over45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015649.4%77 W · 79 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a07…ce91backed Over46c205.33$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.455131.4%16 W · 35 L-9.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-44.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked Under54c200.49$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.223360.6%20 W · 13 L+5.1wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfbf4…6817backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$908426.2%22 W · 62 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Over45c197.78$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8954246.7%253 W · 289 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over46c196.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9893849.7%466 W · 472 L+36.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x92cf…8b35backed Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.081,11052%577 W · 533 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over46c172.59$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3939756.7%225 W · 172 L+21.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over46c160$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.634451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under55c159$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.556446.9%30 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6033442.8%143 W · 191 L-17.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd995…9bcbbacked Over46c130.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed Under54c120.79$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5620456.4%115 W · 89 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Over50c115.66$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8150347.9%241 W · 262 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c114$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.31,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under56c104.36$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.3662546.9%293 W · 332 L+1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over69c100$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.572,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4966143.4%287 W · 374 L-32.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under55c91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.953855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over46c87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0223153.2%123 W · 108 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Over45c83.47$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5625642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over45c81.04$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.872,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.862349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.87142.3%30 W · 41 L-6.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over46c80$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.871747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d73…be4fbacked Over46c78.26$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368234.1%28 W · 54 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Under55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.753,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over45c75$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.751,11341.6%463 W · 650 L-10.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8847948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over46c72$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1287647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.792,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Under56c65.23$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.731144.4%138 W · 173 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b56…d1e1backed Under75c60.01$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.012161.9%13 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.623753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.673445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.231754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.634254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x334f…0d32backed Under52c58$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.8413652.2%71 W · 65 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.613938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9331…0951backed Under56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.574252.4%22 W · 20 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Under55c52.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7328251.8%146 W · 136 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c4…d390backed Under56c51.96$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8620762.3%129 W · 78 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over45c51.36$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.273,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2333147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0824552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0834053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over46c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0831250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f33…8f17backed Over45c48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.64351.2%22 W · 21 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Under53c47.65$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.361,29448.1%623 W · 671 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0d9…7ec6backed Under55c45.49$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.47560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4350…914cbacked Under55c45.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+60.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2026956.1%151 W · 118 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Over45c44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.852240%209 W · 313 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0919…fcbcbacked Over48c43.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.716343.6%71 W · 92 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.428852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.423348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.431551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bb7…8745backed Over45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182556%14 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Over46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4820456.4%115 W · 89 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Over46c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4411741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5636651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over46c36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5615051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Over46c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4412545.6%57 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Over45c36$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.23237.5%12 W · 20 L-4.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-27.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x117d…6542backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7156454.3%306 W · 258 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60c…b395backed Over45c35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.752853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.