NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d587563e53be5c2fcf9a7be97cc4b4e3794efc4e2bf487ded03dff58ef49a00

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $99,246
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $100,243

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,246 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 147 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6e82…752cbacked Under	52c	31,630$16,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,132.6	1,204	55.3%666 W · 538 L	+52.0wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Over	47c	11,056$5,196 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,196.49	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under	53c	9,263$4,909 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,353.51	1,820	52.1%948 W · 872 L	+48.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Under	53c	9,082$4,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,268.72	2,512	49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L	+6.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	48c	8,184$3,890 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,890	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over	47c	7,485$3,542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,541.89	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over	48c	5,365$2,564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,564.2	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over	48c	5,030$2,404 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,404.06	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Over	48c	5,000$2,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,400	166	41%68 W · 98 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4667…cab0backed Over	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	133	55.6%74 W · 59 L	+8.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under	53c	3,762$1,994 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,768	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over	48c	3,308$1,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.3	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc617…a854backed Under	49c	3,031$1,485 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,545.61	426	48.1%205 W · 221 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…2a44backed Over	48c	3,000$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under	51c	2,764$1,410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,354.24	4,878	48%2,341 W · 2,537 L	+61.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Over	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	53c	2,385$1,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120.94	851	47.5%404 W · 447 L	-7.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	47c	2,133$1,003 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,002.51	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41c7…2377backed Under	48c	2,004$962 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,042.05	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.23per pick	43cpaid	+121.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	48c	2,000$960 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+5.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	49c	1,813$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888.3	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Over	47c	1,557$732 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$731.94	36	61.1%22 W · 14 L	+3.4wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+26.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Under	52c	1,436$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$689.27	227	52%118 W · 109 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under	53c	1,383$733 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over	49c	1,134$556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$555.78	843	42.9%362 W · 481 L	-39.1wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Over	48c	1,104$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.85	157	45.2%71 W · 86 L	-3.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddba…867fbacked Over	47c	1,039$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.26	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Over	47c	1,000$470 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$470	132	60.6%80 W · 52 L	+14.0wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8717…32c2backed Under	53c	787.53$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$370.14	415	53.3%221 W · 194 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	53c	596$316 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.12	1,667	52.7%878 W · 789 L	+45.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	47c	558$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.26	2,736	46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L	-67.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over	49c	526$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.74	409	52.1%213 W · 196 L	+16.3wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	57c	492.9$279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$213.47	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Over	47c	400$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188	1,197	47.5%569 W · 628 L	-32.0wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf416…eca5backed Over	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	218	58.7%128 W · 90 L	+17.1wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	48c	399.19$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.61	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked Over	50c	382$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191	296	52.7%156 W · 140 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	56cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7927…34d2backed Under	53c	378.98$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.12	41	58.5%24 W · 17 L	+3.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+23.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Under	50c	333.97$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$168.65	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x892f…820ebacked Over	48c	327.19$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.05	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.15per pick	37cpaid	-57.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under	52c	326.74$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$156.83	2,902	38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L	-51.9wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Over	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…0eccbacked Under	54c	277.78$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.78	245	56.3%138 W · 107 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over	48c	240$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.4	1,028	48.5%499 W · 529 L	+27.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Over	49c	233.46$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	397	56.7%225 W · 172 L	+21.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over	47c	212.77$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	660	46.8%309 W · 351 L	-16.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5474…ce40backed Under	50c	209$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$104.5	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.8wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xceaa…9ffebacked Over	51c	209$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.59	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	50cpaid	-34.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa89e…4ab4backed Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	157	59.9%94 W · 63 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Over	48c	199.87$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.94	258	46.9%121 W · 137 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd311…ecccbacked Under	50c	196$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…975cbacked Over	51c	196$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	13	69.2%9 W · 4 L	+2.5wins	+0.19per pick	50cpaid	+36.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9fb…f13ebacked Over	51c	194$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.94	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	47cpaid	+19%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f82…b570backed Under	50c	194$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$97	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.14per pick	50cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bbf…b7febacked Under	50c	188$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ee8…64afbacked Over	51c	188$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.88	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4862…59f7backed Under	50c	185$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdf99…639dbacked Over	51c	185$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.35	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16e6…dc3dbacked Under	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c70…a951backed Under	50c	180$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	14	64.3%9 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.14per pick	51cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd8e6…b2b5backed Over	50c	180$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.67	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.0wins	-0.17per pick	50cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over	49c	174$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.26	231	53.2%123 W · 108 L	+6.6wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked Over	48c	160$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	71	42.3%30 W · 41 L	-6.1wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	48c	160$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	717	47.6%341 W · 376 L	+18.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	48c	160$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	344	51.5%177 W · 167 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed Over	47c	158.83$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.65	54	44.4%24 W · 30 L	-2.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over	49c	152.15$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.12	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7602…2775backed Over	36c	138.47$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.34	506	48%243 W · 263 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over	47c	133.74$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.29	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01d8…d0f6backed Under	53c	132$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.04	11	81.8%9 W · 2 L	+2.6wins	+0.23per pick	58cpaid	+45.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x49c4…3f14backed Over	50c	128.86$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.43	83	47%39 W · 44 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	734	45.5%334 W · 400 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over	48c	120$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	342	54.1%185 W · 157 L	+16.5wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe020…85a2backed Over	49c	116.33$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.4wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x291e…4b6abacked Over	48c	104.17$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	+6.5wins	+0.22per pick	40cpaid	+48.1%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over	50c	104$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	1,661	50.3%836 W · 825 L	-14.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1787…c311backed Under	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	1,444	58.1%839 W · 605 L	+13.5wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over	47c	100$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	2,657	49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L	+42.1wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce24…6239backed Over	42c	99.99$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Over	51c	98.04$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	498	52.4%261 W · 237 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0cd5…7527backed Over	51c	98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.51per pick	51cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Over	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	288	52.8%152 W · 136 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	48c	80$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.4	623	49.6%309 W · 314 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over	48c	72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	366	51.4%188 W · 178 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over	48c	72$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.56	876	47.5%416 W · 460 L	+3.7wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b48…7808backed Over	48c	68$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.64	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84ed…9a71backed Over	47c	64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.08	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x47e5…9b73backed Over	51c	60.22$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	425	51.3%218 W · 207 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	48c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.8	238	50.8%121 W · 117 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over	49c	60$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.4	317	54.6%173 W · 144 L	+16.9wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	22c	58.89$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.84	306	16.7%51 W · 255 L	-36.5wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under	52c	56$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.88	87	59.8%52 W · 35 L	+7.6wins	+0.09per pick	51cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over	48c	50$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	331	47.4%157 W · 174 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5373…e46bbacked Over	51c	49.13$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.87	87	44.8%39 W · 48 L	-4.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d67…cf38backed Under	52c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Over	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	245	52.7%129 W · 116 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	340	53.8%183 W · 157 L	+16.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	48c	48$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.04	312	50.3%157 W · 155 L	+2.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event