NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b6c493fab8b61cac9fc59f757f24fc6a95366a20b4d71a4eccedcfb39d4639a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83ab…3d56backed Over | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 93 | 43%40 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 5,125$2,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.5 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 3,441$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,709.19 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 2,027$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.48 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb75…2cdfbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 53c | 1,853$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.4 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 50c | 1,798$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Under | 51c | 999.88$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.96 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 697.43$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 421.54$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.2 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Under | 49c | 395.97$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.95 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Under | 50c | 333$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e4…85b4backed Under | 50c | 226.41$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…22eabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x96ec…fcc4backed Over | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 272 | 47.8%130 W · 142 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 51c | 157$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 49c | 141.79$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.31 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 51c | 137.25$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.25 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…8ef9backed Over | 51c | 130.73$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -10.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 47c | 126.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.14 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 49c | 90$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…ff2cbacked Over | 51c | 80$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01fa…c2edbacked Over | 51c | 70$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.7 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 50c | 59.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60d…2204backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a75…77ffbacked Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9e…0db0backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf48d…02d6backed Under | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74b2…f6c3backed Under | 50c | 31.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 48c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc337…c55bbacked Over | 51c | 23.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x921f…cdecbacked Over | 51c | 21.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d593backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 879 | 50.6%445 W · 434 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b8…0f5dbacked Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. RocketsRockets won
- Suns vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.