NBA · resolved market
Spread: Rockets (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81fa39eed54c1829ba9c08929a1ce604fbca35608647dd85407ff41f4cdb185c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Rockets, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $381,655
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $402,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $381,655 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rockets | 48c | 134,791$65,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,356.27 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Suns | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,199.98 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Suns | 53c | 61,436$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,935.76 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Suns | 51c | 36,986$18,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,122.93 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Suns | 65c | 26,824$17,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,376.69 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Rockets | 49c | 20,196$9,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,896.04 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rockets | 50c | 19,536$9,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,734.78 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Suns | 60c | 18,944$11,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,577.01 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rockets | 48c | 18,896$9,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,067.98 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked Rockets | 49c | 13,529$6,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,628.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Suns | 61c | 10,879$6,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,216.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Rockets | 48c | 9,639$4,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,610.89 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Rockets | 50c | 8,543$4,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.61 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Suns | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,920 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Suns | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Suns | 51c | 7,637$3,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,742.32 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Suns | 51c | 6,235$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,055.15 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 40c | 6,115$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,415.94 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Rockets | 48c | 5,662$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,744.11 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Suns | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Rockets | 49c | 5,000$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424.98 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…1b96backed Suns | 52c | 4,487$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,153.76 | 240 | 51.3%123 W · 117 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Suns | 61c | 3,267$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,266.81 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Rockets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rockets | 49c | 2,875$1,409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.75 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Suns | 52c | 2,743$1,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.84 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Suns | 53c | 2,549$1,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.13 | 415 | 53.3%221 W · 194 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Rockets | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Suns | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Suns | 61c | 2,459$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.02 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Rockets | 48c | 2,062$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Suns | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Suns | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Rockets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.96 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Rockets | 49c | 1,971$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.02 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed Rockets | 48c | 1,900$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Suns | 58c | 1,688$983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.69 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x309f…9282backed Suns | 61c | 1,642$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.38 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Rockets | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Suns | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Suns | 50c | 1,447$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.5 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99a…388ebacked Rockets | 49c | 1,376$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Suns | 71c | 1,244$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.76 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Rockets | 49c | 1,220$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Suns | 52c | 1,098$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.04 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rockets | 48c | 1,026$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.89 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd5…26ccbacked Suns | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 516 | 51%263 W · 253 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc5…b639backed Suns | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Rockets | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.92 | 456 | 47.1%215 W · 241 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Suns | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 656 | 49.2%323 W · 333 L | +9.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…95d8backed Suns | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb589…33d4backed Rockets | 14c | 863$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.82 | 353 | 26.6%94 W · 259 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Rockets | 47c | 848$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Rockets | 48c | 830.87$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.15 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Suns | 52c | 826.92$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.92 | 476 | 51.7%246 W · 230 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Suns | 56c | 806.86$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.02 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Rockets | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Rockets | 49c | 800$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns | 50c | 800$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff8…aa3abacked Suns | 51c | 666$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.34 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…3721backed Rockets | 41c | 633.53$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Rockets | 26c | 600$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Suns | 51c | 587.83$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.83 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Suns | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2f…b226backed Suns | 51c | 500$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Suns | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 625 | 39.4%246 W · 379 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce24…6239backed Rockets | 34c | 424.99$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Suns | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…9b61backed Suns | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Suns | 51c | 393.35$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.74 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Suns | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 361 | 43.5%157 W · 204 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…121dbacked Rockets | 50c | 380$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 315 | 51.7%163 W · 152 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…1d29backed Suns | 51c | 347.63$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.34 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Rockets | 18c | 304.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.9 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Suns | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Rockets | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 591 | 44.5%263 W · 328 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…ee3fbacked Suns | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Suns | 53c | 273.21$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.32 | 637 | 45.8%292 W · 345 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Suns | 63c | 245.2$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Suns | 53c | 235.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.85 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…38b0backed Rockets | 50c | 209.16$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Rockets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Rockets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ae…a7b0backed Rockets | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Rockets | 37c | 203.72$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.8 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d29…4083backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Suns | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebb1…e7afbacked Suns | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 368 | 54.1%199 W · 169 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6921…2345backed Rockets | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -12.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Rockets | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c1…e644backed Suns | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Rockets | 48c | 198.98$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Suns | 61c | 192.39$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4465…baafbacked Suns | 52c | 189.42$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Suns | 51c | 180$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Rockets | 13c | 177.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed Suns | 51c | 175$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.75 | 157 | 59.9%94 W · 63 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Rockets | 47c | 172.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.88 | 98 | 50%49 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc140…517bbacked Suns | 76c | 170.31$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)this page
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. RocketsRockets won
- Suns vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.