NBA · resolved market

Spread: Rockets (-7.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x20509770f9edd1ce224e3e5920194da749b14caf2ed1fed0a7309659b4f8322a

Rebuilt 20 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sunsof Rockets, Suns
Resolved: Jan 6, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $39,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,636

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,780 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Suns	46c	9,169$4,230 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,938.71	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Rockets	54c	5,712$3,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,100.26	484	48.8%236 W · 248 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Suns	50c	4,001$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,001.5	767	46.4%356 W · 411 L	-16.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Rockets	55c	2,941$1,603 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,603.3	1,910	54.3%1,038 W · 872 L	+25.2wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rockets	52c	2,800$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Suns	47c	2,396$1,124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,271.45	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e02…b1c5backed Rockets	52c	2,080$1,082 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,081.6	49	51%25 W · 24 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Suns	48c	1,910$917 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$993.2	499	38.9%194 W · 305 L	-23.4wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Rockets	54c	1,739$939 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$938.89	646	51.7%334 W · 312 L	-14.9wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c7…2e93backed Rockets	54c	1,671$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	211	52.6%111 W · 100 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Rockets	54c	1,540$832 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$831.58	1,212	48.3%586 W · 626 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns	46c	1,234$568 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$666.51	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns	46c	1,172$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$633.78	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Rockets	53c	1,000$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	517	53.8%278 W · 239 L	+11.6wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Rockets	50c	1,000$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	503	47.9%241 W · 262 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns	46c	936$434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$501.84	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Suns	46c	882.04$406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$476.3	477	48.8%233 W · 244 L	+1.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Rockets	56c	752.77$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	238	45%107 W · 131 L	-8.7wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5834…f0cbbacked Rockets	54c	750$405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405	50	62%31 W · 19 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Suns	49c	612.24$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312.24	284	48.2%137 W · 147 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b2…ffcabacked Rockets	51c	589$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.39	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf7cd…0888backed Suns	46c	555.56$256 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300	177	44.1%78 W · 99 L	-7.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Suns	50c	515.02$258 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$257.32	3,995	48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L	+101.9wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns	50c	500$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	5,053	50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L	+110.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0986…9c4bbacked Suns	64c	373.49$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.14	196	49.5%97 W · 99 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1375…4c69backed Suns	47c	317.43$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$167.43	118	39.8%47 W · 71 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1802…d00fbacked Suns	72c	299$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.72	162	43.8%71 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Suns	46c	269$124 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.26	2,078	53.6%1,113 W · 965 L	+44.6wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rockets	50c	222$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e0…a3a6backed Rockets	53c	211$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.83	56	50%28 W · 28 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…81dabacked Suns	47c	200$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Suns	43c	154.77$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.22	2,298	51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L	+65.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Rockets	35c	131.49$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.02	3,342	43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L	+81.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9202…8ef9backed Rockets	54c	123.46$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.67	136	46.3%63 W · 73 L	-10.1wins	-0.07per pick	54cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x911d…2438backed Rockets	54c	116.67$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63	66	54.5%36 W · 30 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb870…5a8abacked Suns	50c	104$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52	918	46.2%424 W · 494 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x56be…57eebacked Rockets	50c	104$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	211	43.1%91 W · 120 L	-6.4wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Suns	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	246	53.3%131 W · 115 L	+10.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204e…55eabacked Rockets	54c	100$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	85	52.9%45 W · 40 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7802…d5b4backed Rockets	53c	100$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53	107	58.9%63 W · 44 L	+7.6wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Suns	46c	100$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54	2,435	49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L	+30.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Suns	46c	98$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.92	938	49.7%466 W · 472 L	+36.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38db…d245backed Rockets	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	100	58%58 W · 42 L	+5.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87ae…811bbacked Rockets	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	175	45.7%80 W · 95 L	-9.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Rockets	54c	92.59$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	610	56.1%342 W · 268 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…dee4backed Rockets	54c	91$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.14	102	55.9%57 W · 45 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe05…b5a5backed Rockets	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	332	46.1%153 W · 179 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Rockets	55c	90.91$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,389	54.9%762 W · 627 L	+16.7wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb113…5646backed Rockets	44c	87.92$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.67	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-2.1wins	-0.18per pick	34cpaid	-64.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Suns	46c	87$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.4	1,109	41.8%464 W · 645 L	-20.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Rockets	52c	86.66$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.36	2,796	50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L	+27.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Suns	47c	85.11$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.11	603	46.4%280 W · 323 L	-12.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9061…9510backed Rockets	53c	84$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.52	71	62%44 W · 27 L	+8.4wins	+0.12per pick	50cpaid	+22%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Rockets	52c	80$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.22	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Rockets	51c	76.99$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.27	841	50.3%423 W · 418 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Rockets	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	-12.5wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Rockets	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	1,573	53.4%840 W · 733 L	-12.8wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ffa…1e06backed Rockets	54c	74.07$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	45	46.7%21 W · 24 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x699c…3600backed Rockets	53c	71$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.63	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b2…c426backed Rockets	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.36per pick	36cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x89a7…e7dbbacked Rockets	53c	60$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.8	111	43.2%48 W · 63 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed Suns	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	481	46.2%222 W · 259 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf9…ef29backed Rockets	54c	55.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Suns	57c	52.63$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.63	59	59.3%35 W · 24 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f78…bfcabacked Rockets	29c	52.51$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.24	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-6.1wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ab0…8383backed Suns	47c	49$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.97	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	50cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Rockets	47c	47.83$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.48	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15b7…7fd0backed Suns	47c	47$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.91	38	63.2%24 W · 14 L	+4.3wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+22.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd647…9c8fbacked Suns	47c	46$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.38	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	-4.7wins	-0.17per pick	53cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6203…5192backed Suns	47c	43$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.79	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Suns	48c	41.67$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.67	217	56.7%123 W · 94 L	+6.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd96…2924backed Suns	49c	40.82$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.82	176	56.3%99 W · 77 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8358…956bbacked Suns	47c	38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.14	41	51.2%21 W · 20 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6468…e03dbacked Suns	47c	38$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.14	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Rockets	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	364	50.8%185 W · 179 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ab7…180ebacked Rockets	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	52	51.9%27 W · 25 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x11e7…6d5cbacked Rockets	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-4.4wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-19%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa57…1e6bbacked Rockets	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	30	53.3%16 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf443…1ea1backed Rockets	54c	37.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	24	50%12 W · 12 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Rockets	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	183	47.5%87 W · 96 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd09…3264backed Rockets	55c	36.36$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	20	30%6 W · 14 L	-4.6wins	-0.23per pick	53cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2e45…3250backed Rockets	54c	35.19$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33b7…c747backed Suns	47c	34$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.02	23	56.5%13 W · 10 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25e3…a909backed Suns	48c	31.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.25	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	54cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Suns	47c	30$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.05	888	45.7%406 W · 482 L	-12.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97b8…0f5dbacked Rockets	52c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	139	53.2%74 W · 65 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4a…7f18backed Rockets	54c	27.78$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Rockets	50c	27.06$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8a2c…38ccbacked Suns	47c	26$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.78	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-4.4wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9af9…89bcbacked Suns	47c	25$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.25	35	54.3%19 W · 16 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Rockets	56c	24.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.68	456	51.1%233 W · 223 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Rockets	54c	22.22$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	152	53.3%81 W · 71 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9f2e…035cbacked Suns	50c	20$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83fc…13ccbacked Rockets	56c	19.2$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	126	54%68 W · 58 L	+6.0wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Rockets (-7.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event