NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc77b2c7cba83596708006eea24da4b42e4707b04e6474791065764fa9ead603e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,531
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,531 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 3,844$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,075.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Under | 48c | 2,075$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,079 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 39c | 1,479$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.19 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 54c | 1,389$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Over | 54c | 1,301$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 59c | 937.47$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Over | 52c | 888.24$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.7 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 47c | 871.85$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.83 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 49c | 859$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.81 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Over | 51c | 858$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.58 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 59c | 443.6$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.51 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 53c | 381$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 54c | 230.67$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 42c | 208.75$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.08 | 807 | 44.1%356 W · 451 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 60c | 200.53$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.01 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fdf…0726backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 42c | 186$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.88 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7289…8d16backed Over | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 54.1%72 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 43c | 161.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.88 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Under | 59c | 157.71$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 150.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Over | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 162 | 61.7%100 W · 62 L | +15.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92bf…0341backed Over | 57c | 122$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Over | 50c | 105$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 888 | 45.7%406 W · 482 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 628 | 48.7%306 W · 322 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 59.1%94 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d14…1eb4backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 52%194 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 54c | 89.13$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.58 | 661 | 43.4%287 W · 374 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177d…88cfbacked Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 54c | 74.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Over | 57c | 72.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Over | 49c | 63.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.07 | 271 | 44.3%120 W · 151 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Under | 46c | 63.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe5…fd84backed Under | 44c | 62.93$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x334f…0d32backed Over | 58c | 61$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc603…3b67backed Under | 44c | 58.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 50c | 57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42b…45d2backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 96 | 53.1%51 W · 45 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 52c | 49.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a7abbacked Over | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 498 | 52.4%261 W · 237 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Over | 54c | 40.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 213 | 52.1%111 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e7…6d5cbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 46c | 37.04$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 52c | 37$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…a909backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 45c | 33.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 44c | 32.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Over | 35c | 31.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf256…a93fbacked Over | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9105…1ae2backed Over | 57c | 26.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x570b…1263backed Over | 57c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x254f…2fb8backed Over | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x709c…7347backed Over | 57c | 21.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…617fbacked Over | 57c | 21.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x820f…0ddcbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1aa…071abacked Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe74e…90b6backed Over | 57c | 19.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699a…38febacked Over | 57c | 19.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…8512backed Over | 57c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9b…ae51backed Over | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…a2aabacked Over | 57c | 18.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 221.5this page
- Spread: Rockets (-7.5)Suns won
- Spread: Rockets (-8.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. RocketsRockets won
- Suns vs. Rockets: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 222.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 223.5Under won
- Suns vs. Rockets: O/U 224.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.