NBA · resolved market
NBA Playoffs: Rockets vs. Warriors (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8e4b9f37258d261251842989426e656de73b8a051d11dbf0dc670de657c0df1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Warriorsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,037,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,059,518
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,037,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49d5…f347backed Rockets | 27c | 155,000$41,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,299.99 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Warriors | 61c | 107,506$65,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,647.3 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Rockets | 39c | 65,779$25,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,638.06 | 109 | 26.6%29 W · 80 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 68c | 56,502$38,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,995.34 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Rockets | 25c | 50,811$12,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,651.58 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Rockets | 26c | 48,370$12,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,638.8 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f4…bc4fbacked Rockets | 39c | 47,076$18,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,359.59 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93fc…34b6backed Rockets | 39c | 36,491$14,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,167.78 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Warriors | 60c | 33,540$20,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,535.4 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Rockets | 33c | 33,241$11,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,095.17 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5269…45f0backed Warriors | 44c | 27,211$11,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,238.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…d16abacked Rockets | 56c | 27,211$15,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,238.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Warriors | 65c | 25,077$16,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,859.07 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Rockets | 40c | 22,833$9,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,133.43 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Warriors | 61c | 17,477$10,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,812.35 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Warriors | 70c | 16,858$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,057.26 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets | 46c | 15,094$6,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,898.93 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b52…e5f2backed Warriors | 75c | 15,004$11,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,750.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked Rockets | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850.11 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Warriors | 67c | 14,112$9,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.08 | 165 | 37%61 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Rockets | 45c | 12,779$5,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,694.37 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Warriors | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Rockets | 22c | 10,000$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.64 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Rockets | 22c | 9,845$2,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,157 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 60c | 7,552$4,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,033.24 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Warriors | 73c | 7,500$5,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeafb…3179backed Rockets | 58c | 6,785$3,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,952.17 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Warriors | 61c | 6,485$3,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,529.18 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3575…4f23backed Rockets | 39c | 6,400$2,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,513.73 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +85%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffec…7a8bbacked Rockets | 39c | 5,713$2,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,228 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…f40abacked Warriors | 64c | 5,248$3,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,888.87 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Warriors | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…b579backed Rockets | 31c | 4,676$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…5295backed Warriors | 61c | 4,523$2,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.08 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Warriors | 68c | 4,341$2,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.14 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6367…e938backed Rockets | 39c | 4,292$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672.39 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…b705backed Rockets | 43c | 4,265$1,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,836.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Warriors | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Warriors | 53c | 3,800$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.96 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a50…7f3abacked Rockets | 27c | 3,511$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$945.07 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Rockets | 40c | 3,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Rockets | 24c | 3,133$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.77 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Warriors | 76c | 3,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Warriors | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Warriors | 74c | 2,848$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.47 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked Warriors | 63c | 2,698$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.41 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Warriors | 76c | 2,612$1,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.53 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…d577backed Rockets | 56c | 2,595$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Warriors | 72c | 2,500$1,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476a…76bdbacked Warriors | 62c | 2,185$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Warriors | 71c | 2,166$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.13 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Rockets | 2c | 2,152$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.41 | 98 | 4.1%4 W · 94 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Rockets | 39c | 2,070$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.51 | 173 | 56.6%98 W · 75 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Warriors | 45c | 2,022$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.43 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Warriors | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Warriors | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc8…39efbacked Rockets | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.99 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Rockets | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.97 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Rockets | 41c | 1,703$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693.52 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…c2b7backed Warriors | 62c | 1,603$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea0…9928backed Warriors | 77c | 1,593$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.8 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 61cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Warriors | 62c | 1,480$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.4 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.72 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Rockets | 38c | 1,400$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Warriors | 61c | 1,373$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.65 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d4…ad20backed Rockets | 39c | 1,284$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Rockets | 18c | 1,268$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.19 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Rockets | 26c | 1,169$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…9460backed Rockets | 39c | 1,117$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.85 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Warriors | 60c | 1,100$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ab…79e1backed Warriors | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Warriors | 74c | 1,059$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.69 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…6e02backed Rockets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…31dfbacked Rockets | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 49 | 10.2%5 W · 44 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Warriors | 62c | 999.99$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Warriors | 61c | 999.97$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Rockets | 38c | 999.53$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.04 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf65e…3850backed Rockets | 27c | 903.73$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.21 | 243 | 36.2%88 W · 155 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Warriors | 68c | 898.91$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.23 | 207 | 56%116 W · 91 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Rockets | 24c | 865.56$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.21 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1292…e678backed Rockets | 56c | 801.73$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.99 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd621…bc07backed Warriors | 39c | 799.99$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x352e…3c42backed Rockets | 29c | 770.33$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Rockets | 21c | 761.2$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…852dbacked Warriors | 53c | 754.72$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.72 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…2cc4backed Rockets | 27c | 752.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Rockets | 29c | 686.68$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.61 | 229 | 39.7%91 W · 138 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Warriors | 68c | 626.05$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.43 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Warriors | 70c | 623.87$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.84 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Rockets | 39c | 600$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Warriors | 62c | 600$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07cb…743cbacked Rockets | 40c | 598.78$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.51 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0f9b…7829backed Rockets | 39c | 576.46$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5b…23cabacked Warriors | 43c | 543.68$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.9 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…204dbacked Rockets | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Rockets | 54c | 511.88$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.43 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…8974backed Warriors | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Warriors | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.