Seattle Redhawks vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9a0bdc90635ed8266e165e3fe57203c64dff7eb2badbc985defbc69febf92fb

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Gonzaga Bulldogsof Seattle Redhawks, Gonzaga Bulldogs
Resolved: Jan 3, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $77,715
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $76,297

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,715 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x90ba…63f3backed Seattle Redhawks	24c	6,100$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.72	105	11.4%12 W · 93 L	-5.3wins	-0.05per pick	17cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Gonzaga Bulldogs	63c	5,699$3,591 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,107.89	2,555	41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L	-15.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4385…dbc4backed Seattle Redhawks	3c	5,037$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.62	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Redhawks	3c	4,340$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.8	4,382	40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L	+23.7wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Seattle Redhawks	20c	4,020$808 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$807.69	1,887	45.2%853 W · 1,034 L	+6.5wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Seattle Redhawks	14c	3,765$538 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$538.01	1,173	25.2%296 W · 877 L	-43.0wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs	58c	2,916$1,684 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,231.13	5,946	49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L	+163.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Gonzaga Bulldogs	66c	2,543$1,666 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$876.42	3,905	58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L	+165.3wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Gonzaga Bulldogs	61c	1,686$1,029 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$657.28	434	50%217 W · 217 L	+13.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Seattle Redhawks	5c	1,535$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.32	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs	46c	1,391$645 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$746.14	50	44%22 W · 28 L	-3.3wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Seattle Redhawks	3c	1,320$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.46	290	12.1%35 W · 255 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed Seattle Redhawks	2c	1,200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x611a…e63ebacked Seattle Redhawks	2c	1,200$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	38	10.5%4 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Seattle Redhawks	3c	1,021$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.65	1,227	27.8%341 W · 886 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Seattle Redhawks	29c	994.25$287 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286.62	3,684	42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L	+32.6wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Seattle Redhawks	9c	792$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.3	1,074	47%505 W · 569 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed Seattle Redhawks	11c	779.58$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.79	190	50.5%96 W · 94 L	+15.7wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a72…5bb9backed Seattle Redhawks	24c	764.18$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$185.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Seattle Redhawks	8c	648.74$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.88	149	25.5%38 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…26f0backed Seattle Redhawks	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	133	13.5%18 W · 115 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Gonzaga Bulldogs	52c	589.37$305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$284.83	114	44.7%51 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs	39c	584.27$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$355.09	1,540	41.3%636 W · 904 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x128a…f49ebacked Seattle Redhawks	24c	570.95$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3516…ea50backed Seattle Redhawks	3c	521.88$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked Seattle Redhawks	19c	490$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.22	35	20%7 W · 28 L	+2.9wins	+0.08per pick	12cpaid	+43%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Gonzaga Bulldogs	64c	425.52$271 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$154.35	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Seattle Redhawks	10c	411.41$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.47	94	12.8%12 W · 82 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Gonzaga Bulldogs	50c	369.34$184 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$185.48	1,531	50.1%767 W · 764 L	+34.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Seattle Redhawks	11c	321.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	1,951	45.1%880 W · 1,071 L	-19.9wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980d…985fbacked Seattle Redhawks	23c	262.04$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Redhawks	9c	210.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,667	36.4%607 W · 1,060 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs	40c	200$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120	1,260	43.3%545 W · 715 L	+34.8wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Seattle Redhawks	57c	174.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	104	47.1%49 W · 55 L	-14.7wins	-0.14per pick	61cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3a8e…b505backed Seattle Redhawks	42c	172.91$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.92	480	51%245 W · 235 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf81…601dbacked Seattle Redhawks	64c	171.94$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	73cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Seattle Redhawks	64c	155.51$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	391	44.5%174 W · 217 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Seattle Redhawks	20c	152.23$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.17	369	42.3%156 W · 213 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Gonzaga Bulldogs	47c	140.29$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74.25	2,003	53.7%1,076 W · 927 L	+101.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0110…af5dbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs	64c	139.92$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.67	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Seattle Redhawks	26c	128.22$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.6	176	47.2%83 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Gonzaga Bulldogs	76c	123$94 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.27	323	43%139 W · 184 L	-18.5wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x97f1…47a5backed Seattle Redhawks	31c	103.21$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-4.5wins	-0.23per pick	60cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Seattle Redhawks	23c	100$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.8	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-4.6wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2b56…d1e1backed Seattle Redhawks	60c	94.8$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.9wins	-0.27per pick	70cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe020…85a2backed Seattle Redhawks	21c	94.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b11…5568backed Seattle Redhawks	55c	91.65$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96f1…b6d8backed Seattle Redhawks	39c	91.43$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.2	57	59.6%34 W · 23 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8c8a…398ebacked Seattle Redhawks	23c	87.61$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	42cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf37c…3c74backed Gonzaga Bulldogs	28c	86.61$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.36	218	30.7%67 W · 151 L	-10.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x54e1…9de8backed Seattle Redhawks	68c	61.1$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.69	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	56cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Gonzaga Bulldogs	64c	57.19$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.81	456	44.5%203 W · 253 L	-16.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe92e…1e38backed Seattle Redhawks	75c	53.33$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	32	56.3%18 W · 14 L	-2.9wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Gonzaga Bulldogs	78c	52$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.44	2,012	50%1,006 W · 1,006 L	+22.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Seattle Redhawks	71c	50$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.25	484	62.8%304 W · 180 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Seattle Redhawks	57c	35.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-2.4wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee35…11ecbacked Seattle Redhawks	59c	33.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.5wins	-0.13per pick	46cpaid	-31.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Seattle Redhawks vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market