TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Dodgers vs. Guardians

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dodgersof Dodgers, Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf980…6528backed Guardians40c16,179$6,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,471.4311746.2%54 W · 63 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Dodgers60c5,100$3,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0351,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers61c4,847$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,892.591,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5440…900bbacked Guardians40c4,558$1,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,823.37250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c15…4c30backed Guardians40c4,308$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,723.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ecb…070fbacked Dodgers75c4,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0002462.5%15 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians39c3,416$1,332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,332.311,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers61c3,130$1,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.192,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x721d…4ae3backed Dodgers60c3,031$1,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.523100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe030…7508backed Dodgers59c3,012$1,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,234.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b5…b87fbacked Guardians41c3,011$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Guardians39c3,007$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.7369249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x943f…03ebbacked Dodgers60c2,943$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.293100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a12…ab0fbacked Dodgers60c2,892$1,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.76250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f93…e313backed Dodgers62c2,639$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.6815543.2%67 W · 88 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…ec2fbacked Guardians38c2,093$792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$791.5614048.6%68 W · 72 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfaae…8a95backed Dodgers59c2,013$1,188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$825.332166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xedd7…0356backed Guardians41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8202152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Guardians8c2,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Guardians38c1,949$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.4560249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb26…94ddbacked Guardians2c1,750$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.512314.6%18 W · 105 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+83.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Guardians31c1,651$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.5420523.4%48 W · 157 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x982a…48aebacked Guardians10c1,645$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.561050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc91a…c6b8backed Guardians24c1,625$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.3410746.7%50 W · 57 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Dodgers60c1,562$937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$625.2497950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Dodgers78c1,532$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.249,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Guardians34c1,476$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.4431248.4%151 W · 161 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad8c…f563backed Guardians26c1,359$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35025835.3%91 W · 167 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa593…4ac5backed Dodgers61c1,300$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaa2…93ccbacked Dodgers68c1,209$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.6124844%109 W · 139 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1231…fbfdbacked Guardians39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4681353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Guardians38c1,036$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.5688549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6be…fcfebacked Guardians40c1,007$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.3113353.4%71 W · 62 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2373…ddfabacked Dodgers61c1,000$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39037446.8%175 W · 199 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Guardians1c1,000$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125416.1%41 W · 213 L-15.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-57.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Dodgers60c999.99$601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.0933349.5%165 W · 168 L-10.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Dodgers76c977.86$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2276456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Guardians21c953.85$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.61442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3fe…e789backed Guardians39c897.44$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers69c871.52$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2702,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Dodgers60c860.13$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.045,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Dodgers61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6721356.3%120 W · 93 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe10e…cfddbacked Guardians3c800$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249824.5%24 W · 74 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Guardians39c791.77$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.7920450.5%103 W · 101 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Guardians28c706.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed Dodgers79c695.24$549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14617866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Dodgers60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24068656.4%387 W · 299 L+38.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Dodgers61c518.74$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.3117351.4%89 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Guardians39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19593240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Dodgers75c475.64$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.911,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Guardians25c438.59$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.8586751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Dodgers69c433.45$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.4551953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Dodgers59c421.2$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.6923752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Dodgers60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Dodgers60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16014050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.8726651.1%136 W · 130 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.582,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Dodgers62c322.58$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5880955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians11c320.18$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0963942.7%273 W · 366 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9eb…a6c9backed Guardians39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Dodgers80c300$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602835.7%10 W · 18 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick57cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xfe38…1f16backed Dodgers61c251$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.894776.6%36 W · 11 L+8.2wins+0.17per pick59cpaid+27.4%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xa329…26a2backed Guardians40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006038.3%23 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58d2…46e6backed Dodgers64c250$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9030928.5%88 W · 221 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers62c243.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.872,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1009…9ad0backed Dodgers58c241.34$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.364652.2%24 W · 22 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+23.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ed…2fefbacked Dodgers61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae3f…12fabacked Dodgers71c199.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5812025.8%31 W · 89 L-15.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-38.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x698f…ae41backed Guardians25c199.84$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.962441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf5cf…ea6cbacked Guardians31c198$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-77.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Guardians20c196.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4887…179dbacked Dodgers60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.675352.8%28 W · 25 L-5.1wins-0.10per pick62cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5695…f8edbacked Dodgers66c158.18$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.786637.9%25 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers61c153.7$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.941,05150.4%530 W · 521 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers61c150$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.592754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Dodgers59c136$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7651955.3%287 W · 232 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Dodgers59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.5923852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfdb…7a75backed Dodgers75c133.28$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.2820367%136 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9978…6c41backed Guardians41c126.34$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4e6…d3dbbacked Guardians41c126.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f62…0ac2backed Guardians41c123.22$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.52250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd9e…3723backed Guardians42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a7…f88dbacked Guardians27c110.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Dodgers62c107.87$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.9999951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Dodgers68c102.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9434264.3%220 W · 122 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Dodgers74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2619566.2%129 W · 66 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+8.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Guardians38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Dodgers62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$385444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Dodgers67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3317927.9%50 W · 129 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-50.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Guardians39c99.99$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3924250.8%123 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Dodgers62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.771,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Dodgers61c90.16$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1678454.5%427 W · 357 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1ba…fbd8backed Dodgers61c87.92$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.29366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…92efbacked Dodgers61c87.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.943100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+126.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x90eb…f90cbacked Dodgers61c83.15$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…43f0backed Dodgers61c82.98$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.36250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1571…c4e6backed Guardians32c81.76$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.161361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6dad…bfcdbacked Dodgers61c80.69$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.473100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+82.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f19…aec2backed Dodgers74c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.516947.3%80 W · 89 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb39…7a04backed Guardians41c79.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.