NHL · resolved market
Flyers vs. Oilers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad26b4f6d9e775445910ead29a7ffba63852ae1c2c6ceddb0681c44dee8f1fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Flyers, Oilers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $637,732
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $645,702
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $637,732 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 421 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Oilers | 59c | 243,902$143,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,902.18 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Flyers | 49c | 219,886$107,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,469.94 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Flyers | 40c | 50,478$20,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,286.71 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Flyers | 41c | 47,866$19,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,245.91 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Oilers | 60c | 45,882$27,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,529.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Flyers | 41c | 29,125$11,941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,183.5 | 95 | 48.4%46 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Oilers | 59c | 25,000$14,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,750 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Oilers | 60c | 24,582$14,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,749.26 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Flyers | 41c | 23,424$9,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,909.32 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Flyers | 40c | 20,574$8,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,344.68 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Flyers | 41c | 16,834$6,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,957.24 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Oilers | 31c | 13,085$4,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,056.35 | 117 | 45.3%53 W · 64 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Oilers | 31c | 11,075$3,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,433.25 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…9401backed Oilers | 61c | 10,777$6,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,574 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Oilers | 58c | 10,370$6,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,014.47 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaddc…ed0dbacked Oilers | 31c | 9,236$2,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,864 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Flyers | 40c | 8,750$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,250 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Oilers | 62c | 8,629$5,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,350 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Flyers | 39c | 7,078$2,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.73 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Flyers | 41c | 6,666$2,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,932.94 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Oilers | 0c | 5,667$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Flyers | 40c | 5,523$2,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.68 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Oilers | 31c | 5,075$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.25 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Flyers | 41c | 4,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,878.05 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Oilers | 60c | 4,728$2,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,830.41 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Oilers | 61c | 4,705$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.05 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Oilers | 60c | 4,010$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425.27 | 246 | 54.5%134 W · 112 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Oilers | 31c | 4,003$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Oilers | 27c | 3,792$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.19 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Flyers | 40c | 3,650$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,190 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Flyers | 40c | 3,287$1,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.49 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Oilers | 45c | 3,245$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.37 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Flyers | 63c | 3,199$2,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.46 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360d…5e0fbacked Oilers | 47c | 3,181$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,488.79 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -8.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3107…63b9backed Oilers | 59c | 3,089$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.39 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Oilers | 50c | 3,000$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Oilers | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc10b…c27ebacked Oilers | 1c | 2,985$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Oilers | 50c | 2,790$1,387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.34 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0c3dbacked Oilers | 61c | 2,508$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.88 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Flyers | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,475 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fc…7ac6backed Flyers | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.98 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Oilers | 14c | 2,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.24 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Oilers | 22c | 2,402$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.64 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Flyers | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Oilers | 59c | 1,765$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.1 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Oilers | 25c | 1,754$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.25 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…94ffbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,644$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc42…6c78backed Flyers | 39c | 1,625$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers | 40c | 1,600$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Oilers | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Oilers | 61c | 1,500$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Flyers | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…2e68backed Flyers | 68c | 1,464$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.36 | 47 | 78.7%37 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Oilers | 37c | 1,387$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.74 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Oilers | 28c | 1,333$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.28 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Flyers | 41c | 1,283$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.89 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Oilers | 14c | 1,217$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.02 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Oilers | 17c | 1,207$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Oilers | 60c | 1,150$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Oilers | 60c | 1,100$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc44…3b40backed Oilers | 19c | 1,071$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.13 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers | 65c | 1,038$679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.24 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Oilers | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Oilers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Oilers | 60c | 991$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.6 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Oilers | 60c | 979$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.4 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Flyers | 79c | 967$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.07 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Oilers | 61c | 899.83$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.9 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Oilers | 58c | 814.76$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.56 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a6…2895backed Flyers | 39c | 753.72$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Oilers | 23c | 750.05$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Flyers | 58c | 740.41$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.11 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Oilers | 61c | 740$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.4 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98f…5d9abacked Flyers | 41c | 732.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…03eebacked Flyers | 39c | 719.36$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Oilers | 59c | 711.86$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe166…4f71backed Oilers | 18c | 671.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Flyers | 76c | 648.68$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.67 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Oilers | 31c | 645.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Flyers | 38c | 634.95$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.87 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd622…8b56backed Oilers | 31c | 634.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.78 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc08e…bc1bbacked Flyers | 39c | 620.85$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.72 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 58c | 615.92$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.11 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…86b2backed Flyers | 41c | 604.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.4 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Oilers | 60c | 600$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 222 | 48.2%107 W · 115 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 69c | 598.52$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.91 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cf…5712backed Oilers | 61c | 579.92$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6950…86a1backed Oilers | 61c | 573.34$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Flyers | 41c | 554.86$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.83 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Oilers | 25c | 538.6$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.05 | 273 | 57.5%157 W · 116 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Oilers | 5c | 525.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Flyers | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Oilers | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Flyers | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Oilers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 126 | 48.4%61 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…2957backed Oilers | 38c | 500$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.51 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Oilers | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Oilers | 60c | 499.96$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.98 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Flyers vs. Oilersthis page
- Flyers vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Oilers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.