UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdb35f60993d74fb60c41609732c5dec3dc1d3090134e9f5b16fad7fb5d51d50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amosovof Magny, Amosov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Magny | 23c | 33,215$7,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,590.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Magny | 18c | 31,555$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,679.82 | 195 | 44.6%87 W · 108 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Amosov | 77c | 27,365$21,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,294.94 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Magny | 23c | 17,227$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Magny | 18c | 10,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked Magny | 17c | 10,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 222 | 59.5%132 W · 90 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Magny | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -88.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Amosov | 80c | 4,853$3,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.79 | 332 | 53.3%177 W · 155 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…4982backed Amosov | 76c | 4,399$3,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9840…8b6dbacked Magny | 22c | 3,363$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.26 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Amosov | 77c | 3,119$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.33 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Magny | 17c | 3,040$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.86 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +14.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Amosov | 79c | 3,000$2,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 177 | 52%92 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Magny | 20c | 2,958$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.59 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Amosov | 78c | 2,729$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.28 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Magny | 21c | 2,582$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.11 | 156 | 41%64 W · 92 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b2…5098backed Magny | 22c | 2,503$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked Magny | 2c | 2,400$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Magny | 46c | 2,279$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.15 | 134 | 37.3%50 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Amosov | 80c | 2,145$1,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.96 | 160 | 49.4%79 W · 81 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Magny | 24c | 2,114$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Magny | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Magny | 10c | 1,811$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed Amosov | 80c | 1,497$1,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.67 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0174…f66fbacked Magny | 20c | 1,396$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…129ebacked Magny | 23c | 1,348$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Magny | 22c | 1,326$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.85 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Magny | 19c | 1,306$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.36 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa26d…f990backed Amosov | 79c | 1,259$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Magny | 19c | 1,232$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.09 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecd3…4285backed Magny | 20c | 1,217$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…b859backed Amosov | 79c | 1,201$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Magny | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.02 | 109 | 28.4%31 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Magny | 21c | 1,076$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.95 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…64c3backed Amosov | 79c | 999.69$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.65 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e2…d8b8backed Magny | 22c | 957$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x064b…0996backed Magny | 24c | 956$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…0fc3backed Magny | 22c | 926$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…6e14backed Amosov | 62c | 800$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Amosov | 79c | 750$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 356 | 64.6%230 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0dcfbacked Amosov | 78c | 634$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2784…c374backed Magny | 22c | 623$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b12…c3c1backed Amosov | 78c | 601$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Magny | 18c | 561.41$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 124 | 46.8%58 W · 66 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Magny | 20c | 504.67$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.21 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Magny | 23c | 501.24$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.27 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Magny | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Amosov | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…930fbacked Amosov | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd937…cb9abacked Amosov | 76c | 486.21$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +230.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Magny | 20c | 466.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Amosov | 79c | 450$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 339 | 48.1%163 W · 176 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafc6…b975backed Amosov | 78c | 415$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Magny | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Magny | 25c | 395.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.96 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f3…4e79backed Amosov | 80c | 375.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.29 | 71 | 54.9%39 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec78…110cbacked Amosov | 78c | 373$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7565…da11backed Magny | 19c | 369.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f16…5546backed Magny | 19c | 364$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…f73abacked Amosov | 80c | 363$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…75f2backed Amosov | 78c | 356$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Amosov | 76c | 321.91$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.78 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c61…ae77backed Amosov | 78c | 320$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Magny | 23c | 304.75$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Amosov | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Magny | 20c | 300$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Amosov | 79c | 299.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a4…2a56backed Amosov | 78c | 292$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…c7abbacked Magny | 18c | 277.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda6…5309backed Magny | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…ae46backed Amosov | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…d279backed Amosov | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb937…f2c5backed Amosov | 79c | 252.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Amosov | 80c | 251.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…9b3fbacked Amosov | 78c | 250$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f8…ac7bbacked Magny | 20c | 250$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e4…c797backed Magny | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…058abacked Magny | 19c | 232.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Amosov | 78c | 214$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaade…64eabacked Magny | 19c | 210.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6470…aac7backed Amosov | 79c | 203.62$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.76 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aaf…c132backed Magny | 19c | 203.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…edb9backed Magny | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4209…7582backed Magny | 22c | 199.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Magny | 21c | 195$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf058…e173backed Amosov | 78c | 192.35$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 134 | 65.7%88 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x012c…478ebacked Magny | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…abb3backed Magny | 25c | 162.56$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…98cabacked Amosov | 78c | 158$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…3e5abacked Magny | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Magny | 17c | 152.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Magny | 22c | 150$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Amosov | 77c | 145$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bac…d1afbacked Amosov | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe523…f087backed Magny | 23c | 129.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +14.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Amosov | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Magny | 17c | 127.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab43…f7b3backed Amosov | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff7…a5e5backed Amosov | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cac…f75cbacked Magny | 18c | 119.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Magny vs. Amosov (Welterweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- Will Yaroslav Amosov win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won
- Will the fight be won by submission?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.