NHL · resolved market
KHL: Lada Togliatti vs. Traktor
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaed615a0d57a487cdf4559b77b362812355e1b44df9e8832309b6b1ade458ad8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Traktorof Lada Togliatti, Traktor
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d16…85f3backed Traktor | 69c | 1,273$884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.07 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lada Togliatti | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Lada Togliatti | 31c | 815.18$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.7 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2121…6127backed Lada Togliatti | 31c | 630$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5a…5199backed Lada Togliatti | 32c | 599$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x991c…5f1bbacked Lada Togliatti | 32c | 562$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6255…d51abacked Lada Togliatti | 32c | 460$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9408…effcbacked Traktor | 68c | 322$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ce…94abbacked Traktor | 68c | 285$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40f…ae21backed Traktor | 68c | 279$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…bfb9backed Traktor | 68c | 277$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…b7b5backed Traktor | 68c | 277$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…a977backed Traktor | 69c | 196$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050c…c4cebacked Lada Togliatti | 31c | 196$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…ea91backed Traktor | 69c | 182$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36ed…ac90backed Lada Togliatti | 31c | 182$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…2a82backed Traktor | 68c | 181$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e3…c6d4backed Traktor | 70c | 180$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked Traktor | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4cd…9cd2backed Lada Togliatti | 30c | 180$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…e7b5backed Lada Togliatti | 30c | 177$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…a451backed Traktor | 70c | 177$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7f…5b93backed Traktor | 70c | 166$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…a16dbacked Lada Togliatti | 30c | 166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b66…dd43backed Lada Togliatti | 30c | 165$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd6…68a5backed Traktor | 70c | 165$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…5070backed Traktor | 70c | 159$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…2306backed Lada Togliatti | 30c | 159$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bed…54f6backed Lada Togliatti | 32c | 155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbc…18a0backed Lada Togliatti | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lada Togliatti | 28c | 141.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.62 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Traktor | 67c | 141$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…4599backed Traktor | 67c | 133$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.89 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec64…aab1backed Traktor | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Lada Togliatti | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Traktor | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +9.8wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked Traktor | 70c | 96.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d9…a94bbacked Traktor | 67c | 82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc0…9a63backed Traktor | 69c | 81.36$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Traktor | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…f2ebbacked Traktor | 69c | 79.8$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…ce7cbacked Traktor | 69c | 78.26$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a9…32a7backed Traktor | 69c | 73.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9885…b943backed Traktor | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Lada Togliatti | 29c | 67.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Traktor | 67c | 67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb6…38babacked Traktor | 69c | 59.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa399…b304backed Traktor | 69c | 55.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a4…581ebacked Lada Togliatti | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7e…a411backed Traktor | 69c | 51.9$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Traktor | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…e80abacked Traktor | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Traktor | 67c | 48$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb5…5c42backed Traktor | 69c | 46.35$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc35…d905backed Traktor | 69c | 45.65$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea6a…3ee2backed Traktor | 68c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 524 | 51%267 W · 257 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…7ec5backed Lada Togliatti | 30c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…6aeebacked Traktor | 69c | 37.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Traktor | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4e…ee4fbacked Traktor | 68c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Lada Togliatti | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…38a6backed Traktor | 69c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Traktor | 70c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04a5…11d1backed Traktor | 70c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc52b…a76fbacked Traktor | 69c | 16.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.