Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drake Bulldogs vs. Evansville Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfed32666042670a32f4646ac6310e1342646da0a91becd5b2de3d64b720d4e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drake Bulldogsof Drake Bulldogs, Evansville Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,420
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d9…870ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 44c | 2,456$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.78 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Evansville Aces | 16c | 2,412$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.16 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Drake Bulldogs | 59c | 2,230$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Evansville Aces | 52c | 1,697$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.14 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Evansville Aces | 47c | 1,649$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.79 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Drake Bulldogs | 33c | 1,513$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.58 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Evansville Aces | 44c | 1,500$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…8055backed Drake Bulldogs | 57c | 1,074$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.23 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Evansville Aces | 47c | 1,064$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.72 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8826…36d5backed Evansville Aces | 28c | 1,022$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Drake Bulldogs | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Drake Bulldogs | 77c | 739$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Drake Bulldogs | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 154 | 53.9%83 W · 71 L | +16.8wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…110bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 39c | 691.74$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +158%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Evansville Aces | 51c | 596.83$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.44 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Evansville Aces | 29c | 518.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Evansville Aces | 40c | 487$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.8 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b1…5f40backed Evansville Aces | 20c | 405$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 58c | 400$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Evansville Aces | 66c | 329$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.2 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Drake Bulldogs | 74c | 275$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.49 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Evansville Aces | 51c | 267$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.91 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Drake Bulldogs | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Evansville Aces | 49c | 200$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Drake Bulldogs | 57c | 187$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.41 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Evansville Aces | 42c | 120$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Evansville Aces | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 95 | 4.2%4 W · 91 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -86%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Evansville Aces | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Evansville Aces | 53c | 69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe490…8e6cbacked Drake Bulldogs | 45c | 67.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…8ac5backed Drake Bulldogs | 54c | 65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 78c | 57.61$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Drake Bulldogs | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cc…f9c0backed Drake Bulldogs | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…ce7cbacked Evansville Aces | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked Evansville Aces | 71c | 33.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Evansville Aces | 40c | 33.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6926…a128backed Drake Bulldogs | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Evansville Acesthis page
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 143.5Under won
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 144.5Under won
- Spread: Drake Bulldogs (-2.5)Evansville Aces won
- Spread: Drake Bulldogs (-3.5)Evansville Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.