TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof Bilibili Gaming, LNG Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$280,067
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$348,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $280,067 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xff80…9b4dbacked LNG Esports13c26,785$3,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,362.337245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed LNG Esports21c25,301$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,308.0585746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed LNG Esports9c18,990$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.1154353.8%292 W · 251 L+32.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8292…f774backed LNG Esports19c12,974$2,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,522.7416238.9%63 W · 99 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b48…4705backed Bilibili Gaming78c7,868$6,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.834942.9%21 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d60…37a4backed LNG Esports28c7,149$1,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9991233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3f…a807backed LNG Esports6c7,000$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438535.7%3 W · 50 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick3cpaid-68%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed LNG Esports13c5,414$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.592,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Bilibili Gaming78c5,133$4,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,109.3411548.7%56 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked Bilibili Gaming77c4,834$3,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.377131.8%245 W · 526 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa61b…3984backed LNG Esports29c4,500$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-4.4wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-49.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfbca…3b1ebacked LNG Esports23c4,045$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.3510535.2%37 W · 68 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed LNG Esports0c3,706$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4889810.7%96 W · 802 L+2.6wins0.00per pick10cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42b…7ea9backed LNG Esports15c3,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51046033.9%156 W · 304 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf704…bed4backed LNG Esports0c3,369$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6917838.8%69 W · 109 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked LNG Esports17c3,027$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.6813543%58 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9801…1ab6backed Bilibili Gaming80c2,679$2,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.758439.3%33 W · 51 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed LNG Esports7c2,476$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.0629927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked LNG Esports15c2,467$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.9424529.8%73 W · 172 L-0.9wins0.00per pick30cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Bilibili Gaming79c2,401$1,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.9234250.6%173 W · 169 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…40e3backed Bilibili Gaming77c2,074$1,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$476.942955.2%16 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+46.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee78…094fbacked LNG Esports17c1,929$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.93520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick37cpaid+81.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Bilibili Gaming78c1,889$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.2959952.8%316 W · 283 L-3.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked LNG Esports10c1,817$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4367549%331 W · 344 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked LNG Esports21c1,738$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.2614338.5%55 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e4…c99ebacked LNG Esports11c1,608$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.83224.5%1 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-83.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5b0…60e7backed Bilibili Gaming80c1,375$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x922d…29bbbacked LNG Esports18c1,356$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec02…3dd1backed Bilibili Gaming77c1,298$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.2714049.3%69 W · 71 L-22.3wins-0.16per pick65cpaid-29%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Bilibili Gaming79c1,269$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Bilibili Gaming80c1,233$983 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.111546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bilibili Gaming79c1,200$948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25219239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked LNG Esports18c1,111$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025433.5%85 W · 169 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20b2…f114backed LNG Esports17c1,111$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19027535.3%97 W · 178 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Bilibili Gaming80c1,106$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.432345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd3…4191backed Bilibili Gaming71c1,100$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3236936.2%25 W · 44 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Bilibili Gaming79c1,064$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.5444350.8%225 W · 218 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Bilibili Gaming79c1,038$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.227646.1%35 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Bilibili Gaming79c1,005$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.785046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9a7…add9backed LNG Esports10c988$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.82740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked LNG Esports17c866.4$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.9521536.7%79 W · 136 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked LNG Esports18c859.44$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.753139.9%212 W · 319 L+18.7wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x98c6…3d1ebacked Bilibili Gaming71c845.07$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0715246.1%70 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked LNG Esports26c841.84$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0523751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a43…61d9backed LNG Esports17c839$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x581d…2b06backed LNG Esports22c799.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17648035.4%170 W · 310 L+13.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaddc…ed0dbacked Bilibili Gaming80c781.25$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.25540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-47.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x04a3…8046backed LNG Esports11c705.64$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.62560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick32cpaid+190.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a14…045cbacked Bilibili Gaming80c700$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14226234.4%90 W · 172 L-21.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Bilibili Gaming79c699.99$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471,18044.5%525 W · 655 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked LNG Esports18c698.87$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12511146.8%52 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29b0…be57backed LNG Esports17c690$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.3250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed LNG Esports19c675.2$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.291,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked LNG Esports19c659.53$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.191,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Bilibili Gaming79c632.91$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.915461.1%33 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc86…f1a6backed LNG Esports17c628$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+117.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc756…52bcbacked Bilibili Gaming80c627.69$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.69250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-37.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed LNG Esports18c594.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10444738%170 W · 277 L+2.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked LNG Esports18c576.03$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.899741.2%40 W · 57 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked LNG Esports20c558.5$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.7520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8088…959cbacked LNG Esports17c557$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.69560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bbe…03c5backed Bilibili Gaming77c538.52$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.25046%23 W · 27 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick37cpaid+76%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0484…4e9ebacked Bilibili Gaming80c522.81$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-32.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd9…503abacked LNG Esports17c520$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked LNG Esports15c504.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.4992450.9%470 W · 454 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1052…53dabacked Bilibili Gaming76c501.06$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.83450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ae…82bdbacked LNG Esports17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854131.7%13 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd991…c161backed Bilibili Gaming80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10031855.7%177 W · 141 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0de…5338backed LNG Esports17c500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd795…6fcdbacked Bilibili Gaming76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12031435.7%112 W · 202 L+15.5wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd07…cb4ebacked Bilibili Gaming74c471.37$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.1213551.9%70 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked LNG Esports20c463.63$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.578438.1%32 W · 52 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed LNG Esports17c463.22$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8080832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67ba…e5e6backed LNG Esports19c461$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.59333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa1a…d9abbacked LNG Esports22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed LNG Esports15c446.19$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3923932.6%78 W · 161 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd0…b94cbacked Bilibili Gaming79c434.87$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.455360.4%32 W · 21 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick69cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a0…05c4backed LNG Esports23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035035.1%123 W · 227 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf795…4b3ebacked LNG Esports17c430$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-49.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed LNG Esports21c425.17$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6416934.3%58 W · 111 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-27.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdac9…56e7backed Bilibili Gaming79c412.73$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.672161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+53.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc1b7…d976backed Bilibili Gaming78c410.53$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.326464.1%41 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…1753backed LNG Esports9c399.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb840…d340backed LNG Esports19c399.98$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.5728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Bilibili Gaming78c385.76$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.877451.4%38 W · 36 L-11.0wins-0.15per pick66cpaid-25.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x23ff…94f5backed LNG Esports23c370.55$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.452259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+40.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe04e…9e28backed LNG Esports17c367$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed LNG Esports15c365$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.643348.7%211 W · 222 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Bilibili Gaming75c360.72$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.1814150.4%71 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3351…4e2dbacked Bilibili Gaming76c357.13$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.718549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f59…3a50backed Bilibili Gaming78c344.69$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.0915155.6%84 W · 67 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63bb…54fbbacked LNG Esports22c337.26$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.579151.6%47 W · 44 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb6…a2fcbacked LNG Esports12c333.75$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409835.7%35 W · 63 L-0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bilibili Gaming67c327.91$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.212,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdb…6560backed Bilibili Gaming77c324.55$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked LNG Esports21c315.62$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.641,44713.3%192 W · 1,255 L-109.5wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-35.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe024…14fcbacked LNG Esports18c300.11$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x552e…a856backed LNG Esports10c299.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe64…b3a7backed LNG Esports15c280$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked LNG Esports10c276.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.293957.1%28 W · 367 L-122.2wins-0.31per pick38cpaid-74.1%equal weight18-0.29 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.