La Liga · resolved market
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe594336eb9616c791adf9a3cab164a0ea779ae9134c10c7762d0faa1a37c2b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55ff…f153backed No | 69c | 2,906$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 1,917$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.6 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 55c | 1,816$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,647$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.85 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 36c | 1,426$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.13 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 68c | 1,425$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969 | 351 | 48.4%170 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c6…4692backed No | 69c | 1,159$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 941.91$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.92 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 34c | 716.79$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 26c | 633.94$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.24 | 144 | 27.8%40 W · 104 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked Yes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1d…820cbacked Yes | 57c | 385.96$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.96 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb3…ce7cbacked Yes | 73c | 359.16$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.18 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…f350backed Yes | 34c | 320.59$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 28c | 198.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.59 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 32c | 186$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.48 | 306 | 34.6%106 W · 200 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e2…f97fbacked Yes | 66c | 162.58$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -15.6wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…8e91backed No | 69c | 150.34$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.73 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 31c | 150$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.5 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes | 25c | 109.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 70c | 107.8$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 32c | 104.38$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.98 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 32c | 101.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.34 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Yes | 31c | 100.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.02 | 234 | 52.6%123 W · 111 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964f…ca58backed Yes | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…e042backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.4wins | +0.36per pick | 38cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 45c | 95$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…51f7backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 88$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.06 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e7…6031backed No | 19c | 81.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…20c5backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 72c | 69.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 170 | 36.5%62 W · 108 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d66…0e16backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8276…1204backed No | 69c | 60.14$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 39c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.42 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2df5…51acbacked Yes | 41c | 54.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 309 | 56%173 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fb…90c7backed Yes | 30c | 49.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 54c | 40.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97c3…b479backed Yes | 29c | 37.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.66 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604d…4608backed Yes | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Yes | 69c | 33.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…4320backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe08e…907bbacked Yes | 50c | 26.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Yes | 70c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa022…22f1backed No | 58c | 24.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 66c | 24.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 596 | 55.4%330 W · 266 L | +31.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 56c | 23.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 240 | 47.9%115 W · 125 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…c87fbacked No | 63c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed No | 67c | 17.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?this page
- Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-04?No won
- Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-04?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.