CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team magixx vs Team m3wsu (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x803da5a1aee8b89145dc42dd69a8212ad861ce88b60c562e83f7d6e557bde0e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team magixxof Team magixx, Team m3wsu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,639
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,639 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5705…08e9backed Team m3wsu | 7c | 2,199$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed Team m3wsu | 37c | 462.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Team magixx | 18c | 454.39$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.61 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…9200backed Team magixx | 66c | 400$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.16 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team magixx | 10c | 279.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.45 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9af…7807backed Team magixx | 49c | 236.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Team m3wsu | 56c | 178.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.07 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa226…5092backed Team magixx | 26c | 152.84$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.03 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Team magixx | 52c | 152.83$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…7a59backed Team m3wsu | 39c | 141.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 185 | 43.2%80 W · 105 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team magixx | 78c | 128.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb33…0acbbacked Team m3wsu | 61c | 118.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 149 | 51.7%77 W · 72 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Team magixx | 36c | 113.26$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.26 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Team magixx | 61c | 100.12$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.22 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec1…5c2ebacked Team m3wsu | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…6937backed Team magixx | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…62bdbacked Team magixx | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…7f75backed Team magixx | 64c | 99.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6644…e9fabacked Team m3wsu | 64c | 72.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team m3wsu | 30c | 72.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Team m3wsu | 45c | 70$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcd…b8e6backed Team magixx | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2e…bfa2backed Team magixx | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Team magixx | 46c | 60.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Team m3wsu | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5df…0f22backed Team m3wsu | 61c | 59.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x192c…a151backed Team m3wsu | 54c | 54.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec7a…a1f2backed Team m3wsu | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Team m3wsu | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Team magixx | 51c | 43.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa45…bbbebacked Team magixx | 67c | 34.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c4e…2224backed Team magixx | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3def…b78dbacked Team magixx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2315…39b1backed Team m3wsu | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x644c…e705backed Team m3wsu | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team magixx vs Team m3wsu (BO3)this page
- Counter-Strike: Team magixx vs Team m3wsu - Map 1 WinnerTeam m3wsu won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.