TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: MOUZ vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Xtreme Gamingof MOUZ, Xtreme Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,153
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,985

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,153 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfc60…ffaabacked Xtreme Gaming59c9,234$5,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,826.712142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Xtreme Gaming47c8,649$4,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,54333746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc736…7255backed MOUZ57c4,356$2,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,503.684141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-29.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Xtreme Gaming79c4,350$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.2714751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked MOUZ28c4,109$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.061,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed MOUZ30c3,359$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.651,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked MOUZ53c2,929$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.6355157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Xtreme Gaming59c2,757$1,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.8673841.7%308 W · 430 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Xtreme Gaming49c2,263$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,149.219147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked MOUZ32c2,134$677 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.151,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed MOUZ50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008242.7%35 W · 47 L-8.2wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-22.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc7c…d9d7backed MOUZ13c2,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.999750.5%49 W · 48 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ca…87d1backed MOUZ61c1,873$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.4519552.8%103 W · 92 L-15.2wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa420…35bbbacked MOUZ28c1,610$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.412437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked MOUZ33c1,592$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.891,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa824…c9fcbacked Xtreme Gaming50c1,503$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.8718053.3%96 W · 84 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed MOUZ50c1,398$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.1416050.6%81 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Xtreme Gaming49c1,389$681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.544658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Xtreme Gaming55c1,325$723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.5199844.4%443 W · 555 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dde…cff5backed MOUZ19c1,321$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25033644%148 W · 188 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7c7…620cbacked Xtreme Gaming52c1,232$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.368544.7%38 W · 47 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa1…2922backed Xtreme Gaming48c1,178$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.56650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed MOUZ38c1,166$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.1615047.3%71 W · 79 L+7.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e88…5ddabacked MOUZ45c1,105$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.337562.7%47 W · 28 L+11.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+24.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x938a…a7a0backed Xtreme Gaming49c1,072$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.724100%4 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+70.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5905…a34cbacked MOUZ26c1,027$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2641926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-51.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed MOUZ50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014854.7%81 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04b…e2d4backed MOUZ51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51016142.9%69 W · 92 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ae…188bbacked MOUZ52c993.48$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.27757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd27c…198fbacked Xtreme Gaming48c937$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.246100%6 W · 0 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+66.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Xtreme Gaming62c906.38$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.221,90147.6%905 W · 996 L+4.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed9d…517dbacked Xtreme Gaming49c889$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+41.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed MOUZ34c880.18$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.7947660.7%289 W · 187 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4279…2c59backed MOUZ52c815$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea6…135fbacked MOUZ38c712.99$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.616142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed MOUZ36c700$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25536054.4%196 W · 164 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Xtreme Gaming43c699.99$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-70.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4da1…e6dfbacked MOUZ39c660.02$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2606735.8%24 W · 43 L-5.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Xtreme Gaming50c615$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5560646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe99e…0084backed Xtreme Gaming49c608$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.0887645.7%400 W · 476 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Xtreme Gaming47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31869835.2%246 W · 452 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked MOUZ54c589.02$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.612948.1%62 W · 67 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked MOUZ46c579.84$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.115648.2%27 W · 29 L+4.1wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7ae…8fbdbacked MOUZ51c572$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.72450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Xtreme Gaming49c561.19$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.214146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x500f…94bfbacked MOUZ51c561.19$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.2113558.5%79 W · 56 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Xtreme Gaming49c559.27$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.5262650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Xtreme Gaming72c521$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8834443.9%151 W · 193 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Xtreme Gaming47c515.11$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.0119943.2%86 W · 113 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Xtreme Gaming55c500.95$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.1317740.7%72 W · 105 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Xtreme Gaming50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25080443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Xtreme Gaming80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012965.1%84 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd8…1f6bbacked MOUZ51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48df…aea0backed MOUZ52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed MOUZ34c498.25$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.47451.4%38 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed MOUZ32c496.51$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.757944.3%35 W · 44 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-20.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x516c…9687backed MOUZ51c489$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.39785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.28per pick58cpaid+62.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Xtreme Gaming64c476.46$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.4866662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked MOUZ31c473$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.3814121.3%30 W · 111 L-10.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-60.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc651…15d3backed Xtreme Gaming62c464.63$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.567147.9%34 W · 37 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed MOUZ29c442.67$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3514940.9%61 W · 88 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b61…0cebbacked MOUZ52c437$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed MOUZ9c433.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010850%54 W · 54 L+8.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35ea…663dbacked MOUZ51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…3b0abacked MOUZ52c383.83$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.593852.6%20 W · 18 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc090…ec1fbacked MOUZ52c363$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.76580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+22.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked Xtreme Gaming77c360.57$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9391356.1%512 W · 401 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Xtreme Gaming62c328$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3811145.9%51 W · 60 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Xtreme Gaming57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1298648.8%42 W · 44 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed MOUZ49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14727548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc6…d353backed MOUZ53c248.45$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a06…31d8backed MOUZ53c218.63$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.8741655.3%230 W · 186 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ29c216.98$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.862,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d86…ea87backed Xtreme Gaming44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125451.9%28 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2154…05aebacked MOUZ54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-19.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Xtreme Gaming51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9841248.8%201 W · 211 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8031…67e0backed Xtreme Gaming49c199.97$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9873743.6%321 W · 416 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed Xtreme Gaming46c197.95$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.8911947.1%56 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed MOUZ52c192.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Xtreme Gaming48c189.14$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4392056.4%519 W · 401 L+78.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa388…76dcbacked MOUZ53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5aab…1536backed MOUZ53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001850%9 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd7bb…0fd6backed Xtreme Gaming49c183.41$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.542759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed MOUZ37c176.28$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.823351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed MOUZ8c160$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.69423.4%22 W · 72 L+0.3wins0.00per pick23cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed MOUZ57c160$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8153757.7%310 W · 227 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfced…6116backed Xtreme Gaming63c157.11$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.16540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-36.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ44c147.68$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.532,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked MOUZ42c141.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6311052.7%58 W · 52 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed MOUZ51c140$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.431245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked MOUZ45c132.01$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.41625%4 W · 12 L-3.9wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8192…3da2backed Xtreme Gaming78c128.13$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.13933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6df4…bb2fbacked MOUZ53c127.57$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.611442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb24f…3432backed MOUZ15c127.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0713742.3%58 W · 79 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1823…9a8ebacked Xtreme Gaming68c124.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed MOUZ45c119.97$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.091,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4594…b1acbacked Xtreme Gaming77c118$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.141457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Xtreme Gaming45c115$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.813827.5%38 W · 100 L-15.0wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-50.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Xtreme Gaming68c112.64$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4934063.2%215 W · 125 L+38.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+13%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa787…a9d1backed MOUZ16c110$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.232839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.