TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$495,332
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$902,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $495,332 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x83d2…d196backed Under65c29,426$18,990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,989.856048.3%29 W · 31 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over36c14,251$5,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,103.393,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Under64c4,500$2,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,879.998041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Over36c4,444$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,844.163145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over32c3,750$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55020054%108 W · 92 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked Over36c2,620$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,676.532948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over30c1,911$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.9183939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Over49c1,891$926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$964.598075%60 W · 20 L+13.9wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+39.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xe19a…abafbacked Under62c1,580$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.581464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c1,531$879 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$878.991,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Over33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a0…5804backed Over45c1,106$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.873154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under64c874.69$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.8318650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00a0…bf76backed Over15c840$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7143847.4%18 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+51.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa1b0…1846backed Over36c694.44$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.442075%15 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…d7a0backed Over61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.743948.7%19 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over35c643.88$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.832,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Under10c599.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60150%0 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0e7…3335backed Over58c510.34$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.3412875%96 W · 32 L+8.1wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c456.93$256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.851,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over30c442.3$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.260147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc55d…9d2dbacked Under70c428.57$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked Over43c425.21$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.914067.9%95 W · 45 L+12.4wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over35c403.69$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.374,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Over53c372.98$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.33053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd92a…8936backed Under8c360$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.42321.7%5 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick10cpaid+212.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over35c350$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.534252%178 W · 164 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6da…2b66backed Under8c349.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296412.5%8 W · 56 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+50.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.511929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c28…fc1abacked Over36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+103.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e52…00f5backed Over46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.396642.4%28 W · 38 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c9…9ee4backed Over47c214.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.851442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over36c200$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1292846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over35c200$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d40…e36cbacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.082254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over33c173.26$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.088732.2%28 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d10…b81dbacked Over56c170.66$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.092864.3%18 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over33c152.12$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1215451.3%79 W · 75 L+14.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+24%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over39c146.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.163545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over35c132$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1510143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over16c125$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10534050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Under66c124.52$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.612133.3%7 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-47.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over35c117.07$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.17055.7%39 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over36c115.54$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.952653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+36.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Over24c111$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.364126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f1e…5a2abacked Over36c104.14$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.65757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ccc…dbcdbacked Over33c100.99$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.6610335%36 W · 67 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7157…7ba4backed Over45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c16…c36fbacked Over14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861020%2 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+11.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under57c98.04$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2110039%39 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over33c93.03$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.3319344.6%86 W · 107 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbc6c…2bf7backed Over44c90$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.751747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Over29c87.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.422236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed Under64c82$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.484746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Under50c80.93$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6712925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over35c80.01$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.011,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over37c75$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.2517648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed5…472bbacked Under72c73.33$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick63cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x657e…e62fbacked Over29c71.43$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.431442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over37c65.78$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.656752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over32c64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.3689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under64c61$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0417044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6110244.1%45 W · 57 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6111651.7%60 W · 56 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.411855.1%65 W · 53 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.418152.5%95 W · 86 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.843255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Over41c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.413626.5%36 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd295…36edbacked Over34c58.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf226…9c0fbacked Over31c56.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.915349.1%26 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7280…65d2backed Over33c53.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.91757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2a3…e321backed Over60c51.22$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over36c49.92$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.242851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under79c49.7$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2d9…0092backed Under65c44.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.793652.8%19 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Over37c42.39$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8211354.9%62 W · 51 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca53…195fbacked Over36c41.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.675464.8%35 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Over35c39.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2614044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x264c…08bcbacked Over26c39.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.891040%4 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+69.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82b2…bdc4backed Over49c39.03$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.032934.5%10 W · 19 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d46…1a6bbacked Under65c38.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9920%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Under70c35.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick53cpaid-62.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x92d6…0550backed Under57c35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.951136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-43.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc119…7d4dbacked Over36c33.33$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3332444.8%145 W · 179 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cf1…23c6backed Over37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.432161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over45c31.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4510634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79c0…5baabacked Over50c31.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.483100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under64c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0557252.1%298 W · 274 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over35c29.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.945152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+4.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under56c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c24.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6479133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81bb…8544backed Under69c24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5630%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3f…1a46backed Under67c23.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f9…f351backed Under64c23$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.612138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-36%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Under66c22.73$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1029…3161backed Under73c20.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe62e…8147backed Under65c20.49$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.321526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.