La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x052b61968ed9157f2035bd7340f3752333e83fc9f6930c8608d6510a2bf3084c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Villarreal CFof Getafe CF, Villarreal CF
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Getafe CF | 0c | 4,724$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69e…12f5backed Getafe CF | 7c | 2,782$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Getafe CF | 9c | 1,500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Getafe CF | 22c | 1,250$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Villarreal CF | 76c | 1,074$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Villarreal CF | 70c | 643$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.9 | 204 | 49.5%101 W · 103 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Getafe CF | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Getafe CF | 10c | 234$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.93 | 192 | 47.4%91 W · 101 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…8132backed Getafe CF | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7397…6aefbacked Getafe CF | 7c | 184$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Getafe CF | 49c | 172.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.31 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Getafe CF | 15c | 170.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +14.0wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Getafe CF | 12c | 130$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Villarreal CF | 39c | 64.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Getafe CF | 27c | 63.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef3…519dbacked Getafe CF | 24c | 48.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Getafe CF | 38c | 37.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)this page
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.