La Liga · resolved market
Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe163a3dbcbe859963b6bbb9a017bb245e14bfa5313f510ed035def155ff6eed9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,539
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,957
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,539 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 9c | 2,491$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.96 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 14c | 1,500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 32c | 1,017$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 21c | 947.53$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.98 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 18c | 919.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 838.23$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.59 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 16c | 607.64$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.64 | 129 | 25.6%33 W · 96 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Over | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over | 21c | 499.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.9 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 28c | 378.55$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.71 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 11c | 318$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…8e4abacked Under | 74c | 247.32$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 38c | 239.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.52 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d40…e36cbacked Over | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 25c | 173.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 16c | 149$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over | 14c | 142.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…00eabacked Under | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 43c | 117.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 22c | 96.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 63c | 88.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 170 | 44.1%75 W · 95 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 30c | 87.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 72c | 84.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 288 | 47.6%137 W · 151 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 21c | 80.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 181 | 52.5%95 W · 86 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 18c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d4…994cbacked Over | 20c | 73.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 21c | 68.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 118 | 55.1%65 W · 53 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 18c | 63.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 43c | 52.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 340 | 50%170 W · 170 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 52.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Over | 32c | 46.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 33c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 37c | 36.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 153 | 44.4%68 W · 85 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Over | 28c | 35.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e46…60d6backed Under | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5this page
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-1.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Getafe CF (-2.5)Villarreal CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)Getafe CF won
- Spread: Villarreal CF (-2.5)Getafe CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.