TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,007
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,036

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,007 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 138 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2379…bf16backed Over45c53,235$24,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,146.231662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+38.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under56c22,260$12,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,770.864,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Under55c16,252$8,858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,393.3990843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under54c10,900$5,932 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,96864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Over45c10,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.971442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under55c7,280$3,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.0520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Under55c6,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.961050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+111.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked Under55c5,455$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,454.551457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under55c4,545$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.455149%25 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Over48c3,510$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,684.7310848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over46c3,404$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5661631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Under55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,350742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under54c2,804$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.232,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d7e…ec67backed Under56c1,993$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae09…60a2backed Under56c1,403$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x866e…7deabacked Over44c1,394$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d3f…c002backed Over44c1,205$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over46c1,087$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd146…9bf0backed Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4705927.1%16 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-30.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Over45c1,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over48c1,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4802941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Over37c999.79$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.92714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-70.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Over45c957.11$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.72638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7aeb…0c44backed Over46c730$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4e6…0d1fbacked Under55c710$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.54100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd325…d6d1backed Under55c680$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3062100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4053…91b9backed Over46c660$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.630%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2709751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over46c588.56$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003724.3%9 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick24cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc181…0992backed Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd910…f8babacked Over47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18422746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over45c373$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.612540%10 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-22.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc2d1…84a2backed Over45c349.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.497644.7%34 W · 42 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over15c333.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034050%170 W · 170 L+16.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under54c315.16$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over43c293.13$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.819237.5%72 W · 120 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over45c266.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.8742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Over46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9a…a4cdbacked Under80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under67c231.45$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.221,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over38c224.48$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.512821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011929.4%35 W · 84 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Over45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcf3…f535backed Over45c199.81$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.915050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under55c180.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.579133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24a5…5d07backed Under57c180$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.41154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over16c155.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519544.1%86 W · 109 L+13.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Under52c151.08$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.523946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over45c133.33$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608236.6%30 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under53c107.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.8930749.2%151 W · 156 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Over24c102$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.12236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over33c101$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3612944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over44c99.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa12c…b9ecbacked Over49c81.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403461.8%21 W · 13 L+6.0wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+43.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under52c81.08$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.684938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75fd…9a86backed Over45c79.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.822065%13 W · 7 L+5.0wins+0.25per pick40cpaid+49.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over28c78.57$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2238748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over45c78.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.253148.4%15 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under53c76.24$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.511,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8650…58fdbacked Under55c73.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.121050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over45c71.83$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.321,03848.1%499 W · 539 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019345.1%87 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7700…2d07backed Under58c68.97$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.971931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89bf…9fd4backed Under55c64.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.93366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over45c60$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277749.4%38 W · 39 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeab…276fbacked Over46c54.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-34.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x421a…51a3backed Over46c52.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.341353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fba…9815backed Under52c51$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.481631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-44.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1710634%36 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Over47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.56440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc709…0a40backed Over34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173557.1%20 W · 15 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Over32c49.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.81741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda4f…65babacked Over40c49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.423545.7%16 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3637…8663backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019461.9%120 W · 74 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over45c44.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012445.2%56 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under58c44.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.7227850%139 W · 139 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb36…5487backed Over46c40.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c63…9a9bbacked Over46c40.46$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.61333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-40.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e72…c55fbacked Under52c40.06$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.232035%7 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.614044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c06…dd56backed Under55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under53c39.36$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4218747.1%88 W · 99 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over48c39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.729634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.742962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4229…c07abacked Over46c37.54$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.27250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7120857.7%120 W · 88 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3612…cf99backed Under56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.71475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+11.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x91bc…541ebacked Over46c35.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f4e…d444backed Over46c35.02$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacd8…6633backed Over29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0e4…a117backed Over46c34.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6a4…2429backed Under55c34.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f9…f711backed Under55c33.36$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0243…8586backed Under55c32.73$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.73250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.