La Liga · resolved market
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x323d6e2016293797930fbc687d2214771b3565fea9ced0a307bdf8a5d531c1b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,842
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,640
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,842 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38ea…d63bbacked Under | 76c | 15,700$11,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,768 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edd…d157backed Under | 76c | 13,100$9,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,144 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 75c | 3,028$2,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.71 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…9d67backed Over | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over | 6c | 1,600$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.72 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Over | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 387 | 29.5%114 W · 273 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f46…4f2bbacked Over | 24c | 833.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 24c | 166.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 114 | 27.2%31 W · 83 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 15c | 121.55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Over | 24c | 118$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 193 | 44.6%86 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 26c | 53.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 117 | 51.3%60 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 25c | 41.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 196 | 46.4%91 W · 105 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf000…5281backed Under | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73e…43f1backed Under | 76c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5this page
- Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Under won
- Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Elche CF won
- Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
- Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)CA Osasuna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.