La Liga · resolved market

Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d9d9b7741abbcb9fede9f5c10925b65eb89ef27de15bca245f3574520f6e702

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $41,222
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $43,044

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,222 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in La Liga
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under	61c	18,070$10,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,091.06	4,740	47%2,230 W · 2,510 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over	52c	6,648$3,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,456.96	200	54%108 W · 92 L	+9.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6f…06c4backed Under	28c	5,202$1,457 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,745.44	14	14.3%2 W · 12 L	-2.3wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	44c	5,050$2,217 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,833.02	1,798	51.4%924 W · 874 L	+6.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over	17c	3,999$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.83	77	19.5%15 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over	72c	2,630$1,903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,903.25	908	43.6%396 W · 512 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8374…6768backed Over	39c	2,499$975 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$974.76	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.23per pick	37cpaid	-70.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over	72c	1,911$1,376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,375.92	73	53.4%39 W · 34 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Over	43c	1,612$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$699.99	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+3.2wins	+0.15per pick	63cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over	55c	1,267$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$697.68	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Over	32c	1,085$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350.66	128	21.1%27 W · 101 L	-12.2wins	-0.10per pick	31cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Under	50c	1,067$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.81	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197b…818ebacked Over	72c	1,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-3.1wins	-0.11per pick	52cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbffe…e4efbacked Over	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+2.7wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Over	72c	1,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	138	45.7%63 W · 75 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over	72c	800$576 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$576	225	52.4%118 W · 107 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fef…5946backed Over	68c	735.9$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	132	63.6%84 W · 48 L	+7.8wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Over	41c	734.78$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.26	130	45.4%59 W · 71 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0040…9eb8backed Over	65c	694.98$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$448.78	186	56.5%105 W · 81 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	24c	585.15$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.16	3,449	43%1,484 W · 1,965 L	+32.1wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Under	29c	555.17$161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$394.17	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.7wins	-0.09per pick	15cpaid	-80.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0d…b612backed Over	69c	435.93$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	223	57%127 W · 96 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Over	44c	403$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.64	129	44.2%57 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	72c	400$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288	428	51.4%220 W · 208 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2dad…a040backed Over	55c	400$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	130	70.8%92 W · 38 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	64cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over	50c	344.84$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.37	55	47.3%26 W · 29 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over	49c	331.15$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.26	167	45.5%76 W · 91 L	+5.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+18%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c37…3fd1backed Under	30c	300$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$210	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+43.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under	37c	255.33$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.2	791	33%261 W · 530 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x012a…c01dbacked Over	44c	227.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	51	51%26 W · 25 L	+4.0wins	+0.08per pick	43cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c34…1d5bbacked Over	44c	227.27$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	24.3%9 W · 28 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over	50c	220.62$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.15	340	50%170 W · 170 L	+16.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0082…e801backed Over	65c	201.54$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+5.4wins	+0.12per pick	57cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Over	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	102	33.3%34 W · 68 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over	71c	200$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142	424	58%246 W · 178 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over	50c	200$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	421	58%244 W · 177 L	+29.1wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Over	27c	199.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.5	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+1.4wins	+0.12per pick	38cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3864…a1b8backed Under	29c	172.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.68	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+5.0wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+34%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under	28c	172.77$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$125.21	1,038	48.1%499 W · 539 L	+17.4wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc758…8574backed Over	29c	163.03$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.16	195	44.1%86 W · 109 L	+13.7wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over	26c	147.61$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38	308	42.9%132 W · 176 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Under	68c	144$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.08	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-15%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	52.7%39 W · 35 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Over	72c	138.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	59	67.8%40 W · 19 L	+3.7wins	+0.06per pick	61cpaid	+8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf7…2fc3backed Over	68c	133.32$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.66	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.7wins	-0.68per pick	68cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under	32c	119.36$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.16	284	46.5%132 W · 152 L	-16.8wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Under	51c	117.65$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.65	127	55.1%70 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over	72c	112.95$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.32	202	50.5%102 W · 100 L	-6.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Under	30c	111.3$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.91	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9154…8f2dbacked Over	34c	107.65$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.27	106	34%36 W · 70 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	49c	106.03$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.86	1,655	43.8%725 W · 930 L	-22.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over	64c	100$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	627	44.3%278 W · 349 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc65a…2e83backed Under	28c	100$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72	51	39.2%20 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+17%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under	27c	90.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.35	191	53.4%102 W · 89 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over	70c	86.67$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.01	2,343	48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over	72c	83.33$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over	63c	79.37$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	168	65.5%110 W · 58 L	+8.5wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf60b…ff5fbacked Over	42c	71.43$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3595…51d9backed Over	72c	70$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	65cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over	73c	68.49$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	247	57.5%142 W · 105 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over	59c	60$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	137	60.6%83 W · 54 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	+6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8650…58fdbacked Under	48c	59.14$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.02	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca61…f06abacked Under	59c	57$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.37	78	44.9%35 W · 43 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over	73c	54.79$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	98	57.1%56 W · 42 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over	70c	51.89$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.32	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over	55c	50.91$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	387	48.1%186 W · 201 L	+17.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Over	71c	45$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	14	57.1%8 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.13per pick	70cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc8c…8293backed Under	36c	41.67$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.67	23	69.6%16 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	65cpaid	+7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdc7…ff41backed Over	73c	41.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.23per pick	61cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under	28c	40$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.8	890	50%445 W · 445 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under	63c	39.16$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.47	278	50%139 W · 139 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2344…6ba3backed Over	28c	39.05$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.06	34	64.7%22 W · 12 L	+5.1wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over	41c	37.44$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	100	39%39 W · 61 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa66f…f5a3backed Under	28c	36$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.92	196	46.4%91 W · 105 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over	71c	34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.01	1,566	51.6%808 W · 758 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9310…5e55backed Under	54c	33.09$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.09	164	46.3%76 W · 88 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over	55c	32.15$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.68	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb4…68c3backed Over	71c	30.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	30	83.3%25 W · 5 L	+4.3wins	+0.14per pick	69cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd11…79a5backed Over	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-3.8wins	-0.16per pick	53cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcd6…a082backed Over	70c	30$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	31	77.4%24 W · 7 L	+2.8wins	+0.09per pick	68cpaid	+14%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Over	44c	28.55$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.56	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f6…4288backed Over	72c	27.96$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	25	92%23 W · 2 L	+5.2wins	+0.21per pick	71cpaid	+30.6%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	223	66.8%149 W · 74 L	+5.5wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	194	61.9%120 W · 74 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25f6…fcd2backed Over	72c	27.78$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	42	83.3%35 W · 7 L	+5.6wins	+0.13per pick	70cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over	73c	27.4$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	90	71.1%64 W · 26 L	+10.3wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8996…15efbacked Under	56c	26$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	49	38.8%19 W · 30 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc06d…9904backed Over	72c	25$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Over	49c	21$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5this page
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 2.5Under won
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5Under won
Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5Under won
Spread: CA Osasuna (-1.5)Elche CF won
Spread: CA Osasuna (-2.5)Elche CF won
Spread: Elche CF (-1.5)CA Osasuna won
Spread: Elche CF (-2.5)CA Osasuna won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Elche CF vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 1.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event