Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea1dd0cc0b270492e759cb68a9c37be97e9ad188679602cbe9cb2a25ab6014c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cloud9of 100 Thieves, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Cloud9 | 53c | 6,075$3,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.97 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves | 46c | 3,909$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.13 | 282 | 47.5%134 W · 148 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 3,159$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188.44 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud9 | 57c | 2,744$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,177.87 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Cloud9 | 32c | 2,710$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.97 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 2,214$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,436.37 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 1,623$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$908.96 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Cloud9 | 38c | 1,610$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.05 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Cloud9 | 74c | 884.17$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.27 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 570.35$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.29 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Cloud9 | 42c | 498.4$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.69 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 486.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed 100 Thieves | 24c | 450$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked 100 Thieves | 27c | 403$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.75 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eba…b143backed 100 Thieves | 9c | 400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Cloud9 | 73c | 322.81$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.91 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cloud9 | 19c | 314.91$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.08 | 1,422 | 51.3%729 W · 693 L | +49.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Cloud9 | 34c | 310.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.64 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…1a5ebacked 100 Thieves | 37c | 269.01$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.72 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9a…796cbacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…b686backed Cloud9 | 57c | 239.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked Cloud9 | 43c | 217$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.69 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 205$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.39 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 188.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Cloud9 | 69c | 174.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 244 | 57.8%141 W · 103 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 149.09$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Cloud9 | 37c | 128.06$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed 100 Thieves | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 108.72$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.62 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…7adebacked Cloud9 | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Cloud9 | 67c | 105$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked 100 Thieves | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8d…8592backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Cloud9 | 52c | 92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 91.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Cloud9 | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a3…ad9ebacked 100 Thieves | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d91…c930backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 81.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 212 | 57.1%121 W · 91 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed 100 Thieves | 17c | 78.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6976…3185backed Cloud9 | 36c | 64.25$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…24c2backed 100 Thieves | 50c | 58.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc568…ecb7backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 56.57$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…2ea7backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 53.22$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4651…a756backed 100 Thieves | 52c | 46.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Cloud9 | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 36.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves | 30c | 34.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked Cloud9 | 58c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d9…1efebacked Cloud9 | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner100 Thieves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.