Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5544931c4733004c7fa63d0656a87ea56888dc21f0837b23a5a06a9091d05bb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Cloud9
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Cloud9 | 30c | 2,940$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.71 | 932 | 48.1%448 W · 484 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Cloud9 | 43c | 1,920$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.6 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked 100 Thieves | 66c | 1,746$1,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.19 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b4…18d6backed 100 Thieves | 70c | 1,438$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 1,287$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.14 | 74 | 56.8%42 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Cloud9 | 19c | 859.26$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.84 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 100 Thieves | 55c | 670$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e5…337ebacked 100 Thieves | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed 100 Thieves | 64c | 398$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.28 | 142 | 52.8%75 W · 67 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Cloud9 | 51c | 355$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked 100 Thieves | 65c | 213.41$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.96 | 655 | 59.4%389 W · 266 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Cloud9 | 50c | 180.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 69c | 150.61$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.98 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Cloud9 | 28c | 134.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Cloud9 | 35c | 93$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2460…e144backed Cloud9 | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d1…3d4cbacked Cloud9 | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…fa4ebacked 100 Thieves | 69c | 75.75$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked Cloud9 | 66c | 67.75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 519 | 48.4%251 W · 268 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Cloud9 | 27c | 55.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Cloud9 | 27c | 55.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Cloud9 | 35c | 54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 666 | 38%253 W · 413 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Cloud9 | 36c | 39.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…f07ebacked 100 Thieves | 60c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…225cbacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 31.84$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed 100 Thieves | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Cloud9 | 49c | 26.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 212 | 40.1%85 W · 127 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…236dbacked 100 Thieves | 72c | 18.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs100 Thieves won
- Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Cloud9 - Map 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.