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La Liga · resolved market

Will Getafe CF vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,420
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$187,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,420 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72b4…7d67backed No79c18,488$14,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.647455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes4c17,108$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.7960147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes0c16,667$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5053242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8566…c626backed No68c14,707$10,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,706.23557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed Yes32c8,423$2,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,695.367040%28 W · 42 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes23c8,066$1,883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,883.284,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No68c2,573$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.3653149.5%263 W · 268 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c2,350$1,648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.0387939.9%351 W · 528 L-20.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes32c2,328$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.542,38148.3%1,151 W · 1,230 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed No76c1,875$1,426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$448.6513969.8%97 W · 42 L+30.1wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+68.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes23c1,616$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.3812925.6%33 W · 96 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes31c1,500$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46538729.5%114 W · 273 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes7c1,300$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9137829.4%111 W · 267 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes27c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270185.6%1 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-80.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes32c995$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.420449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No68c957.9$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.536357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes32c609.28$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.331,26751.3%650 W · 617 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No77c531.82$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.3241147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Yes20c500.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes28c500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14031745.7%145 W · 172 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a2…9874backed Yes32c499.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.9214427.8%40 W · 104 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x48fe…b2b6backed No67c480$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.46240.3%25 W · 37 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c454$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.5127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes35c432.13$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15023252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee02…8132backed Yes8c400$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32150%0 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes23c353.92$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.428045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x99a0…c6d3backed Yes28c320$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No68c316.87$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.6411751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes16c297.01$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5220642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked No70c277.75$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.431675%12 W · 4 L+3.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+57.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Yes17c227.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.672445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes8c222.23$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.47132.4%23 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes15c218.8$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0679133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6422746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6489350.1%447 W · 446 L+25.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43a1…2425backed Yes27c193$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.064126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes14c191$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8410143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc8…f45bbacked Yes20c174.07$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354418.2%8 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-32.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes10c167.08$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.215825.9%15 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Yes32c166$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.129634.4%33 W · 63 L-8.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes32c119.31$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.187623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77b5…9170backed No71c113$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7712656.3%71 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes18c111.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019230.2%58 W · 134 L-0.7wins0.00per pick31cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes16c111.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2723947.7%114 W · 125 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305940.7%24 W · 35 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306762.7%42 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2714023.6%33 W · 107 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275347.2%25 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6aa…3746backed Yes19c99.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910233.3%34 W · 68 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes33c99.99$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3362744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes28c99.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.35133.3%17 W · 34 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes14c98.76$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0715444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Yes18c98.05$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.412236.4%8 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Yes32c92$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.449237%34 W · 58 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa060…0747backed Yes36c90.28$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick49cpaid-48.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes13c85.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.923050%15 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-20.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1861…d25abacked Yes18c83.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick25cpaid+10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes26c79.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.36429.5%4 W · 38 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick21cpaid-63.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes32c75.31$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2212…b427backed Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307853.8%42 W · 36 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed No69c72$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3214574.5%108 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes31c65.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.176344.4%28 W · 35 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Yes23c62.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3618564.9%120 W · 65 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80da…2086backed Yes32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203622.2%8 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed6a…841ebacked Yes18c62$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.892055%11 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes33c57.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.13528.6%10 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ac…f23dbacked No78c54.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.061752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2020…3b53backed Yes19c54.73$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes20c52.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1816040%64 W · 96 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5501…e914backed No68c50.9$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.472360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+34.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yes32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1623455.1%129 W · 105 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2610754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1330956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126847.1%32 W · 36 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.134151.2%21 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb196…33d5backed Yes25c45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0711761.5%72 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No69c43.44$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.635042%21 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5768…a918backed No68c43$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.76650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c3b…6583backed Yes27c39.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.647254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9d9…2f4abacked No70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.82975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa03f…a7dabacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+41.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107350.7%37 W · 36 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a30…b094backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5d…fbb3backed No69c29.9$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.274562.2%28 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4af8…4711backed No68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.