Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61c5667d580e74abcc2090bf5464aa5983f9dd42df73d46a4a846a8ce45ad058
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitality.Beeof Vitality.Bee, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,948
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,948 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x671f…328cbacked Vitality.Bee | 20c | 8,000$1,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,421.89 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Galions | 0c | 7,131$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Vitality.Bee | 18c | 5,541$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,540.82 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Galions | 80c | 5,505$4,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,403.76 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Vitality.Bee | 69c | 3,444$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.91 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70d…dd35backed Galions | 78c | 3,126$2,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,445 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Vitality.Bee | 44c | 2,119$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.42 | 277 | 53.1%147 W · 130 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Galions | 34c | 2,005$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.3 | 1,009 | 48.2%486 W · 523 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…81c2backed Galions | 1c | 1,807$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Galions | 55c | 1,500$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Galions | 78c | 1,477$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.02 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Vitality.Bee | 40c | 964$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.26 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Galions | 71c | 463.26$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.79 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Galions | 27c | 441.8$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 793 | 56.2%446 W · 347 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8b…a0cabacked Vitality.Bee | 17c | 411.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.8 | 398 | 32.7%130 W · 268 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Vitality.Bee | 18c | 400$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Galions | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 179 | 42.5%76 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Vitality.Bee | 46c | 380.22$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.03 | 1,008 | 42.5%428 W · 580 L | -24.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Galions | 58c | 372.05$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.79 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed Galions | 23c | 309.69$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Vitality.Bee | 63c | 299.08$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.04 | 261 | 44.1%115 W · 146 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…ea47backed Vitality.Bee | 14c | 277.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.14 | 1,299 | 26.6%345 W · 954 L | +65.4wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…4574backed Galions | 56c | 272$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Vitality.Bee | 39c | 257$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.07 | 2,910 | 38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L | -120.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde5a…4db5backed Galions | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 249 | 39%97 W · 152 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe625…94c0backed Vitality.Bee | 45c | 219.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.78 | 743 | 44%327 W · 416 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed Galions | 44c | 219.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.54 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Vitality.Bee | 60c | 215.84$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.9 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…5060backed Galions | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…37bfbacked Galions | 10c | 200$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked Galions | 60c | 166.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5e…9c6ebacked Vitality.Bee | 71c | 163$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.73 | 104 | 22.1%23 W · 81 L | -14.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Vitality.Bee | 15c | 150$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.5 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Galions | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Galions | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Galions | 74c | 141.29$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.88 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c7…7203backed Galions | 18c | 137$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…76c3backed Vitality.Bee | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 145 | 54.5%79 W · 66 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Vitality.Bee | 70c | 136.19$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.54 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Vitality.Bee | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked Galions | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,453 | 43.4%630 W · 823 L | +106.7wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddd…5366backed Galions | 26c | 117.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Vitality.Bee | 19c | 110.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.53 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde2a…6bfebacked Galions | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 722 | 34.1%246 W · 476 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa67a…af94backed Galions | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe497…5403backed Vitality.Bee | 59c | 99.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 65 | 61.5%40 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Vitality.Bee | 18c | 92.44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.8 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaf…bb0cbacked Galions | 37c | 90$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Vitality.Bee | 67c | 85$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.81 | 962 | 54.3%522 W · 440 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b0…df70backed Vitality.Bee | 16c | 75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Vitality.Bee | 52c | 74.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 199 | 46.7%93 W · 106 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…ac8fbacked Galions | 34c | 66.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 640 | 48.1%308 W · 332 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed Galions | 30c | 62.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Galions | 47c | 51.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 38 | 26.3%10 W · 28 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e3…f702backed Galions | 68c | 51.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…b4f8backed Galions | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 1,175 | 47.4%557 W · 618 L | +42.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…0c4bbacked Vitality.Bee | 59c | 47.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.71 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Vitality.Bee | 50c | 25.81$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Vitality.Bee | 70c | 21.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…b281backed Galions | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.