TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alexander Zverevof Francisco Cerundolo, Alexander Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$494,453
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$523,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $494,453 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6aee…fad4backed Alexander Zverev72c29,078$21,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,078.1924557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eaf…9bf0backed Alexander Zverev75c28,954$21,629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,32556757.1%324 W · 243 L+13.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Francisco Cerundolo9c25,057$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,369.818,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed Francisco Cerundolo29c22,905$6,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,533.7430740.7%125 W · 182 L-23.3wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Francisco Cerundolo18c22,365$3,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,916.131,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf92a…99acbacked Francisco Cerundolo15c21,466$3,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,219.974930.6%15 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Francisco Cerundolo8c16,093$1,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.882,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Francisco Cerundolo3c14,899$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.221,2068%96 W · 1,110 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5877…d894backed Francisco Cerundolo28c10,155$2,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,843.4511633.6%39 W · 77 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f4e…5104backed Alexander Zverev72c9,781$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,780.14650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Francisco Cerundolo9c9,172$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.567,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Francisco Cerundolo28c9,155$2,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,598.9112322%27 W · 96 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+42.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Francisco Cerundolo13c8,908$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.0880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Francisco Cerundolo27c8,014$2,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.7728338.9%110 W · 173 L+0.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46ee…ae61backed Alexander Zverev72c6,230$4,459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,771.173351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb389…f59cbacked Francisco Cerundolo0c5,520$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Alexander Zverev73c5,479$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,479.4544163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8718…5040backed Francisco Cerundolo21c4,830$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00014264.8%92 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Francisco Cerundolo8c4,410$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.386,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Francisco Cerundolo27c4,161$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.4878536.1%283 W · 502 L+36.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Francisco Cerundolo13c4,089$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.871,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a73…e1adbacked Francisco Cerundolo14c3,773$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53015826.6%42 W · 116 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Alexander Zverev71c3,736$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.4332050%160 W · 160 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Alexander Zverev72c3,726$2,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,043.2857939.7%230 W · 349 L-0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf0e…fd24backed Alexander Zverev71c3,521$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,021.132552%13 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2df7…7a94backed Francisco Cerundolo28c3,520$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Alexander Zverev73c3,288$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.6740748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Francisco Cerundolo23c3,242$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Francisco Cerundolo12c3,171$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.054,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Francisco Cerundolo1c3,003$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028724.4%70 W · 217 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-22%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Francisco Cerundolo29c3,000$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8708031.3%25 W · 55 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Alexander Zverev72c2,883$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$807.241,26756.6%717 W · 550 L-18.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Francisco Cerundolo29c2,845$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.0521338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Alexander Zverev72c2,767$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.867850%39 W · 39 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Alexander Zverev74c2,382$1,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.4946473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x046c…2a9cbacked Alexander Zverev73c2,352$1,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.0535247.2%166 W · 186 L-23.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Francisco Cerundolo29c2,295$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66648935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Alexander Zverev72c2,083$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.3344754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Francisco Cerundolo29c2,050$595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.58721.8%19 W · 68 L-0.2wins0.00per pick22cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x58b3…653cbacked Alexander Zverev73c2,050$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.545036%162 W · 288 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Francisco Cerundolo27c2,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5407135.2%25 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Francisco Cerundolo9c1,879$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1672,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Francisco Cerundolo8c1,857$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1409737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Francisco Cerundolo24c1,767$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.6830131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Alexander Zverev73c1,700$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45966949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea87…1ad7backed Francisco Cerundolo1c1,667$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1427040%108 W · 162 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4fa…f25ebacked Alexander Zverev71c1,550$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.4917840.4%72 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b4…1e3ebacked Francisco Cerundolo25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37515244.1%67 W · 85 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x020e…e3babacked Francisco Cerundolo2c1,500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Francisco Cerundolo29c1,500$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4303429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x555c…319ebacked Francisco Cerundolo29c1,410$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.869931.3%31 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-38.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x27b0…fc67backed Alexander Zverev72c1,400$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39231234.6%108 W · 204 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Alexander Zverev72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe55a…da97backed Francisco Cerundolo29c1,379$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8374…4015backed Francisco Cerundolo29c1,350$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3937346.6%34 W · 39 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Francisco Cerundolo30c1,343$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.581,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Francisco Cerundolo28c1,320$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.642839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2755…fef0backed Francisco Cerundolo23c1,315$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30022634.5%78 W · 148 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x714d…6e05backed Francisco Cerundolo27c1,300$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3456446.9%30 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Francisco Cerundolo28c1,276$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.51,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Francisco Cerundolo27c1,164$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.1958734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Francisco Cerundolo17c1,127$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.072,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Francisco Cerundolo29c1,119$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.231,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe548…a51abacked Francisco Cerundolo29c1,100$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3194129.3%12 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Francisco Cerundolo29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Francisco Cerundolo28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2803,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Francisco Cerundolo28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28058232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Francisco Cerundolo27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Francisco Cerundolo19c970.82$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.523,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Alexander Zverev73c821.92$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.9241544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Alexander Zverev74c777$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5745457.9%263 W · 191 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0113…6f26backed Alexander Zverev73c744.07$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.912949.6%64 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e1b…94b2backed Alexander Zverev71c725$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.251060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e07…6a8ebacked Alexander Zverev72c715.28$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.289144%40 W · 51 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x159a…d8dbbacked Francisco Cerundolo11c710.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.213435.3%12 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7bf…b02dbacked Alexander Zverev71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.2359165.3%386 W · 205 L-16.9wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked Francisco Cerundolo29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2035451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Alexander Zverev71c699.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.8765558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Francisco Cerundolo28c698.49$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.081,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Francisco Cerundolo28c679.92$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.3822747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Francisco Cerundolo29c678.68$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20042743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e29…68e3backed Alexander Zverev73c643.75$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.81862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8df8…59ddbacked Francisco Cerundolo11c602.09$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.1524438.9%95 W · 149 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Alexander Zverev73c600$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16589850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3513…b52fbacked Francisco Cerundolo3c588.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Francisco Cerundolo28c579.48$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5966139.3%260 W · 401 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6d6…2546backed Francisco Cerundolo29c562.07$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1632958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Francisco Cerundolo13c546.22$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015252.6%80 W · 72 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Alexander Zverev79c531.09$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.539947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ad…501ebacked Alexander Zverev71c526.76$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.76366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd126…b4a7backed Francisco Cerundolo16c517.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.292536%9 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Francisco Cerundolo29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,02650%513 W · 513 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Francisco Cerundolo29c517.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b4…753ebacked Francisco Cerundolo25c511.11$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Francisco Cerundolo29c500$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14546553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Francisco Cerundolo27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13534242.4%145 W · 197 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Francisco Cerundolo11c500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5545343.9%199 W · 254 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db0…a3b6backed Alexander Zverev72c483.33$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.33450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b40…8ab4backed Alexander Zverev77c476.58$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.71361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a7…569ebacked Alexander Zverev73c447.93$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.942080%16 W · 4 L+3.7wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+33.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.