Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1938f522ead90819214a2da40f21805323b01d3fe09c66a5e47bc6a04572389d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Zverevof Zverev, Cerundolo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,688
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Cerundolo | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,480 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Zverev | 52c | 7,114$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,403.54 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Zverev | 46c | 5,621$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,035.26 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cerundolo | 43c | 3,495$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,514.13 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad5c…664abacked Zverev | 51c | 2,711$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.92 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 53cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cerundolo | 49c | 2,247$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,109.63 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa307…8ea3backed Zverev | 46c | 2,015$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,088.15 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdd…2fb9backed Cerundolo | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Cerundolo | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.9 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Cerundolo | 55c | 1,277$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Zverev | 53c | 1,122$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.84 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cerundolo | 40c | 1,043$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.29 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Zverev | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.31 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Zverev | 51c | 975.59$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.77 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Zverev | 45c | 827.06$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.07 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…3199backed Cerundolo | 51c | 775$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Zverev | 47c | 773.15$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.32 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…1de7backed Cerundolo | 51c | 593$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Zverev | 44c | 567.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.92 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Zverev | 46c | 565$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.1 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd168…9b5bbacked Cerundolo | 51c | 520$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.2 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Cerundolo | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Cerundolo | 48c | 421.33$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 543 | 48.1%261 W · 282 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Cerundolo | 51c | 391.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 328 | 51.8%170 W · 158 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Zverev | 52c | 384.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Cerundolo | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Zverev | 44c | 377$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Zverev | 50c | 372.9$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.9 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Cerundolo | 29c | 370.7$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.6 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Zverev | 49c | 350.09$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.55 | 227 | 55.1%125 W · 102 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Zverev | 76c | 302$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.48 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Zverev | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 898 | 50.1%450 W · 448 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba3…89cabacked Zverev | 50c | 297.72$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.06 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…773abacked Cerundolo | 51c | 288$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…ef2fbacked Cerundolo | 52c | 264.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…d83abacked Cerundolo | 48c | 251.79$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.86 | 131 | 35.9%47 W · 84 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Zverev | 49c | 247.4$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.11 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Cerundolo | 51c | 223.72$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Zverev | 50c | 201.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.75 | 389 | 51.9%202 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Zverev | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Cerundolo | 51c | 194.01$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.95 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Zverev | 50c | 193$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.03 | 556 | 60.3%335 W · 221 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Zverev | 45c | 191.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.33 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474e…b0fdbacked Zverev | 67c | 183.45$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.45 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Cerundolo | 19c | 178.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Cerundolo | 53c | 141.51$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Cerundolo | 29c | 137.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Cerundolo | 51c | 127.43$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.99 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…e992backed Zverev | 80c | 125.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Cerundolo | 52c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 220 | 39.1%86 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Cerundolo | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Zverev | 48c | 79.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Cerundolo | 19c | 79.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Zverev | 47c | 78.44$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.92 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Zverev | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…1448backed Cerundolo | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 95 | 70.5%67 W · 28 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xacf7…a5ffbacked Zverev | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Cerundolo | 53c | 56.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Cerundolo | 47c | 52.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Zverev | 47c | 52.15$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Cerundolo | 55c | 50.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Cerundolo | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed Cerundolo | 52c | 44.84$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Cerundolo | 52c | 44.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7963…78a1backed Cerundolo | 51c | 43.94$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Cerundolo | 53c | 42.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Cerundolo | 47c | 39.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Zverev | 31c | 35.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…4d96backed Cerundolo | 51c | 31.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8460…af5dbacked Cerundolo | 52c | 30.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b0…9178backed Cerundolo | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…79f3backed Zverev | 51c | 23.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 212 | 57.5%122 W · 90 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Zverev | 46c | 23.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Cerundolo | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Zverev | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)this page
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs ZverevZverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.