Tennis · resolved market
Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54cfcabf0841f990746df1257f32313e2411454be0bbcb92f9615ce1718615a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,438
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,436
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,438 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Over | 62c | 644.36$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 153 | 39.2%60 W · 93 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Under | 40c | 627.35$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.51 | 656 | 52.1%342 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 37c | 574.18$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.42 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 60c | 532.55$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.53 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 35c | 413.63$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.93 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed02…85f7backed Over | 66c | 199.99$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.99 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 162.96$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 34c | 101.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.74 | 2,440 | 51.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 34c | 74.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0a…caf5backed Over | 63c | 46.43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…8ec6backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 476 | 53.2%253 W · 223 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 37c | 29.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…cb5fbacked Over | 64c | 29.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5this page
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Cerundolo vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Francisco Cerundolo vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Miami Open: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev won
- Set 1 Winner: Cerundolo vs ZverevZverev won
- Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cerundolo (+1.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.