La Liga · resolved market
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21aa609d2cf957dc4b7f4a65512afdb02e424655f1202be6517c0f4864412dc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,300
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,300 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1375…a070backed Yes | 50c | 4,002$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9f…b134backed Yes | 50c | 2,015$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…f99ebacked No | 50c | 2,009$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdc…2454backed Yes | 50c | 2,007$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd248…3b58backed No | 50c | 2,007$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcf…dff4backed Yes | 50c | 2,005$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd997…53f2backed No | 50c | 2,005$1,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +138.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9726…892ebacked No | 50c | 2,003$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f69…1ffebacked No | 50c | 2,003$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…3eefbacked Yes | 50c | 2,001$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5083…9cbdbacked No | 50c | 1,999$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 54c | 924.18$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.18 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed Yes | 43c | 868$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…db64backed Yes | 27c | 807$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 27c | 774$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 28c | 767$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked No | 73c | 762$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 27c | 752$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 73c | 667$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91be…2641backed No | 72c | 581$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…bacbbacked No | 57c | 540$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…6e2ebacked No | 73c | 532$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e15…7ff5backed No | 57c | 466$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 27c | 456$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 57c | 401$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +161.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 46c | 400$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed No | 53c | 388.68$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfe…6108backed Yes | 28c | 376$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 57c | 375$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…6d90backed No | 73c | 362$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…dd5fbacked No | 72c | 303$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d1…84a2backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked No | 73c | 295$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 282.97$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.77 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…95e1backed Yes | 43c | 281$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 49c | 247.03$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 72c | 246$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 49c | 234.67$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 43c | 233$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 227.87$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 214.78$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.42 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 9c | 210.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.79 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb97…b54dbacked No | 72c | 186$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…ac22backed Yes | 28c | 173$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…0217backed Yes | 27c | 155$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4628…ee62backed Yes | 27c | 154$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked Yes | 46c | 149.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 48c | 135.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed Yes | 45c | 112.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.78 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4168…a631backed Yes | 79c | 106.72$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3d…2068backed Yes | 48c | 104.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked No | 55c | 103.4$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked No | 55c | 100.99$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb69f…3c2bbacked Yes | 52c | 96.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 57c | 92$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 44c | 78.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 237 | 27%64 W · 173 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 49c | 68.55$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 30c | 68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 70c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -44%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf55…7d8abacked No | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 53c | 59.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed No | 25c | 55.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.54 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +7.1wins | +0.24per pick | 41cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 43c | 47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 55c | 36.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.46 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7b…314dbacked No | 53c | 32.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb33…51cebacked Yes | 48c | 32.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…6c05backed Yes | 48c | 31.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0c…d56fbacked Yes | 48c | 31.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Yes | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked No | 56c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 1.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5Over won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 3.5Under won
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
- Spread: Real Oviedo (-2.5)Rayo Vallecano de Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.