Bundesliga · resolved market
Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf75f210bbfb262f579fe986a5385b26fe1f7e3db288f9f41dcd86ed9e12338cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 3c | 2,136$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,631$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 74c | 1,573$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.93 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 71cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x636a…09aabacked No | 72c | 1,427$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 27c | 1,299$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.95 | 339 | 45.7%155 W · 184 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 1,205$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.25 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76f…39fcbacked Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 27c | 1,080$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.33 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x246f…0ab2backed Yes | 27c | 1,042$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 26c | 999.97$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c5…4c23backed Yes | 28c | 965$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked No | 72c | 906$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd44…1837backed Yes | 27c | 868$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…6e2ebacked Yes | 28c | 830$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes | 26c | 806.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.82 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 27c | 791$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…75e7backed Yes | 27c | 782$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a54…db64backed No | 70c | 778$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked No | 73c | 774$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d9…08d2backed No | 72c | 771$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…735dbacked Yes | 28c | 766$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3734…01a3backed No | 73c | 762$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +231.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 28c | 742$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x968f…a539backed Yes | 27c | 738$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3143…cd52backed Yes | 27c | 706$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed No | 73c | 687$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8401…a498backed No | 73c | 673$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Yes | 30c | 657$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 61c | 655$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.75 | 160 | 60.6%97 W · 63 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0298…eadcbacked No | 70c | 652$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 29c | 650.85$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.6 | 96 | 46.9%45 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 27c | 636$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…2a4ebacked No | 72c | 584$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 66c | 577$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…2213backed No | 73c | 576$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked No | 74c | 574.63$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe6…d8e3backed No | 73c | 529$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed No | 73c | 524$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Yes | 27c | 516$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed No | 72c | 505$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed Yes | 27c | 483$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 73c | 479$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.33 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…7111backed No | 73c | 474$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…f285backed No | 71c | 468$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…b5cebacked Yes | 30c | 466$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked No | 72c | 466$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae0…4590backed Yes | 28c | 466$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6546…c454backed No | 69c | 453$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 31c | 453$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…8e33backed Yes | 52c | 442.75$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…f9fabacked No | 73c | 431.39$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked Yes | 30c | 421$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656c…af94backed No | 72c | 420$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d23…aa07backed Yes | 28c | 420$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9818…7cd3backed Yes | 30c | 418$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…272bbacked Yes | 27c | 414.81$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed No | 73c | 410$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 358 | 56.4%202 W · 156 L | +19.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed No | 73c | 400$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f404backed No | 73c | 398$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes | 27c | 398$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 34c | 395$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…758bbacked No | 73c | 381$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…be04backed No | 73c | 380$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked No | 70c | 371$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked No | 73c | 346$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a8…7efabacked Yes | 31c | 339$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 27c | 337$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…c888backed No | 69c | 321$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 73c | 318$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74b8…0c87backed Yes | 28c | 317$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 28c | 309$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 28c | 302$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 73c | 301$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1220…741abacked No | 70c | 299$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed Yes | 28c | 294$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +36%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked Yes | 29c | 286$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed No | 73c | 286$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 30c | 272$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 70c | 272$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…e13bbacked Yes | 26c | 266.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 27c | 265$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…857abacked No | 73c | 265$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 73c | 253$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…2d8abacked No | 71c | 251$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 73c | 251$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed No | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…a634backed Yes | 27c | 249$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked No | 73c | 247$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 30c | 236$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 26cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 26c | 236$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 73c | 233.32$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 27c | 226$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.02 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e9…8e90backed No | 73c | 223$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e17…0d52backed Yes | 27c | 223$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 80c | 217.91$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.72 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 73c | 215$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x177c…bcd1backed Yes | 10c | 207.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?Yes won
- Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.