Token Launches · resolved market
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92227b54271b6a233f7b4c36a2238aa500e076f7db3be0cf6bfae78d74ba156e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $688,858
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $688,858 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 395 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ee2…bea6backed Yes | 71c | 107,558$76,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,880.39 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…2d5fbacked Yes | 25c | 79,355$20,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,001.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…3ee3backed No | 43c | 74,548$31,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,699.85 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec1…efe6backed Yes | 11c | 52,340$5,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,674.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb67…d696backed Yes | 16c | 43,002$6,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,855.21 | 72 | 70.8%51 W · 21 L | +20.9wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +190%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xff13…7c28backed No | 55c | 40,263$21,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,282.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9e…8716backed No | 30c | 26,625$8,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,586.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…74eabacked No | 54c | 18,595$10,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,571.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…5a8dbacked Yes | 35c | 18,431$6,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,464 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80af…0c19backed Yes | 1c | 18,323$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc701…33c1backed Yes | 45c | 16,938$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,650.17 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…9b56backed No | 27c | 15,999$4,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,697.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9505…01c1backed Yes | 6c | 14,548$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 27c | 13,234$3,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,690.82 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe86c…3f03backed No | 77c | 12,895$9,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,904.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a3…b218backed Yes | 79c | 12,582$9,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…e255backed Yes | 72c | 8,656$6,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,230.98 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8670…ed5abacked Yes | 73c | 8,400$6,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,132 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…7458backed No | 29c | 6,466$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,605.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb01…b811backed Yes | 57c | 5,822$3,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,338.57 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e0…bfd9backed No | 19c | 5,253$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,254.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed No | 48c | 4,998$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,598.71 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 32c | 4,070$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.1 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 46c | 3,990$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.32 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 79c | 3,659$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.95 | 195 | 43.1%84 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad14…ce36backed Yes | 4c | 3,600$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ce…03c5backed No | 19c | 3,388$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,735.76 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +8.9wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…7528backed Yes | 8c | 3,163$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae7f…d4febacked Yes | 44c | 3,058$1,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,348 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 30cpaid | +657.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25dc…e33bbacked No | 41c | 3,004$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.21 | 145 | 48.3%70 W · 75 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x838a…add1backed Yes | 72c | 2,582$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked No | 10c | 2,200$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd54d…66e2backed Yes | 19c | 2,041$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 61c | 2,012$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234.14 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked No | 9c | 1,975$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,806.1 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked Yes | 33c | 1,834$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.68 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa160…7b21backed No | 48c | 1,809$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.6 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80ee…5cf0backed Yes | 78c | 1,730$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,357.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed No | 9c | 1,723$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.76 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,626$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 16c | 1,615$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.73 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92d…4e71backed No | 75c | 1,573$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.35 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…ad35backed Yes | 1c | 1,562$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…62c2backed Yes | 57c | 1,537$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.96 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…e7b3backed No | 65c | 1,521$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a7…55fcbacked No | 20c | 1,504$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…41fbbacked Yes | 4c | 1,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1639…1a62backed Yes | 78c | 1,468$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 54c | 1,411$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.5 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 13c | 1,410$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.52 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd42…8895backed No | 11c | 1,385$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.52 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…dc6fbacked No | 53c | 1,373$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…d913backed No | 9c | 1,345$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +453.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed79…1e49backed Yes | 9c | 1,300$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +345.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked No | 64c | 1,271$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.88 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…c3b1backed Yes | 67c | 1,219$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 77c | 1,206$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x695c…10a1backed No | 20c | 1,204$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.58 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d80…ee14backed No | 21c | 1,200$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 25c | 1,194$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.31 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f50…9451backed No | 16c | 1,191$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +534.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…f0cabacked Yes | 38c | 1,180$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa297…2574backed Yes | 2c | 1,157$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c580backed No | 28c | 1,121$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 8c | 1,110$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.74 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 1,099$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a79…6296backed Yes | 71c | 1,000$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.21 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc934…99e7backed No | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3913…9bddbacked No | 20c | 977.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$777.63 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9efe…d947backed No | 21c | 967$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.93 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…cd36backed No | 36c | 966$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7155…d866backed No | 14c | 929$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +614.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 911.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.88 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed No | 31c | 888$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +221.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 16c | 885$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +535.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad5…6f41backed No | 15c | 875$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f3…e6aabacked Yes | 76c | 874$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…186dbacked No | 5c | 856.86$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +300.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 77c | 850$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaae3…2c9dbacked Yes | 15c | 848.33$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.9wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +2,349.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…1735backed Yes | 5c | 845.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed Yes | 79c | 839$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.81 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d5…1caebacked Yes | 78c | 830$647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 17c | 827$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5544…802abacked Yes | 64c | 822$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed No | 9c | 821$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0e…8884backed No | 29c | 817.83$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.08 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed No | 23c | 816$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed No | 15c | 813$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d26…a7d1backed No | 22c | 798.19$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.41 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x252c…391abacked No | 24c | 792$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 9c | 785$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 7c | 783.94$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa1…15bdbacked Yes | 76c | 783$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Yes | 76c | 773$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e0ecbacked No | 22c | 772$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…f6e9backed Yes | 14c | 750$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed Yes | 71c | 747.06$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.66 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed No | 9c | 716$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +607.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed Yes | 66c | 690$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?this page
- Will USD.AI launch a token by April 30?Yes won
- Will USD.AI launch a token in 2025?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.