Movies · resolved market
Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e4432df317ad71a8203775ffd2a3332aa175410b63561173fe553ba8c44aa2d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked No | 17c | 9,024$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.1 | 331 | 23.9%79 W · 252 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…5250backed No | 6c | 7,092$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.85 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x282e…3eaabacked Yes | 55c | 2,171$1,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 32cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…c968backed No | 1c | 2,128$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d40…4028backed No | 5c | 1,883$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc199…c67cbacked No | 7c | 1,690$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -61%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e2…4c8bbacked Yes | 51c | 1,520$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.8 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 17c | 1,445$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.09 | 39 | 10.3%4 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 8c | 1,414$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.81 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb1…5c16backed No | 23c | 1,323$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.67 | 59 | 62.7%37 W · 22 L | +8.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed No | 45c | 1,322$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed No | 68c | 1,314$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…e90dbacked Yes | 56c | 1,167$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 32c | 1,098$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.93 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd86b…edc1backed No | 11c | 1,052$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 3c | 955$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 268 | 6.3%17 W · 251 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -53%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d4…3ffabacked No | 6c | 900$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed No | 45c | 773$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +48%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 2c | 749.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6885…973ebacked No | 3c | 745.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 5c | 734.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.89 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed No | 49c | 703$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcac…f545backed No | 49c | 699$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.51 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd217…7561backed Yes | 79c | 696.41$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…7a33backed No | 49c | 694$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.06 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.20per pick | 41cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…ffa9backed No | 3c | 684.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 624.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.34 | 123 | 1.6%2 W · 121 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 51c | 576$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.24 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf244…beddbacked No | 52c | 575.55$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.48 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 4c | 571.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 278 | 1.8%5 W · 273 L | -9.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…c18cbacked No | 16c | 559.5$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce1…b2a8backed No | 2c | 500.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 12c | 493.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.92 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…9db8backed Yes | 57c | 477.89$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 15c | 465.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 18c | 462$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 237 | 51.9%123 W · 114 L | +16.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f08…54d3backed No | 13c | 454.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked No | 3c | 447.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71fb…9b65backed Yes | 32c | 437$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +152.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5f…d395backed Yes | 32c | 431$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.08 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bb…a993backed Yes | 51c | 420.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.15 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 59c | 420$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40b…7181backed Yes | 32c | 419$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.92 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked No | 5c | 400$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 39 | 0%0 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc79f…e3febacked No | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.65 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854c…a964backed No | 23c | 342.65$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.89 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed No | 5c | 336.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad8…4998backed No | 17c | 313.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…76e5backed No | 7c | 312.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked No | 14c | 297$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.44 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x563a…f578backed No | 9c | 288.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 26c | 281$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked No | 16c | 279.54$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.12 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 21c | 251.4$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 130 | 34.6%45 W · 85 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4af4…f9e0backed No | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed No | 5c | 250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14dc…f468backed No | 17c | 244$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…5335backed No | 18c | 199.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…4221backed No | 5c | 198.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x608c…034fbacked No | 22c | 196$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…e577backed Yes | 61c | 164.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 22c | 161.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 27c | 153.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ce…57c4backed No | 17c | 131$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 53c | 126.3$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.33 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e8…7b89backed No | 25c | 120.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 46c | 120$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.74 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -69%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed No | 16c | 117.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 69 | 17.4%12 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 17c | 112.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…b054backed No | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…a12fbacked Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked No | 27c | 91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.57 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…6663backed No | 29c | 84.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc14e…62d3backed Yes | 60c | 83.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae91…0f69backed No | 29c | 83.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.35 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c12…d725backed Yes | 46c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5e7…ebdcbacked No | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…28d0backed No | 45c | 76$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f5…9d27backed Yes | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked No | 19c | 67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf295…508fbacked No | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…ec93backed Yes | 73c | 56.03$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 52c | 53.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 78c | 47.86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…1fa8backed Yes | 79c | 43.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…1a66backed Yes | 47c | 42.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa09d…d5a9backed No | 24c | 42.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…be82backed Yes | 48c | 40.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f40…5401backed Yes | 49c | 40.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x731c…a56fbacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddb…1effbacked No | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes | 54c | 39.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc877…05b4backed No | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…6b75backed No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5e…332ebacked Yes | 78c | 28.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc913…4f43backed Yes | 59c | 23.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…5878backed Yes | 50c | 22.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…9506backed Yes | 65c | 21.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?this page
- Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top global Netflix show this week?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.