TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-03-05?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$113,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,111

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0ebb…cb1abacked Yes29c10,224$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No79c10,210$8,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,194.482,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Yes11c5,571$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.577125.4%18 W · 53 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No71c3,685$2,624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.957437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes44c2,234$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-63.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes3c2,172$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.118,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes29c2,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…115ebacked Yes15c1,954$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5829…e46bbacked Yes14c1,853$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+158.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No79c1,844$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.3282434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed No72c1,805$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.352166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d17…0e2bbacked Yes13c1,664$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No72c1,580$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$444.6751749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8ae…bb88backed Yes13c1,478$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1430%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd5e7…ebdcbacked Yes13c1,338$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked Yes22c1,290$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Yes6c1,191$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.032832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5f…d395backed Yes12c1,140$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc336…9f48backed No71c1,064$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.562100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+155.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb0…0d4cbacked No71c1,034$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c9…e4b3backed Yes29c1,024$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…8cc1backed No56c1,006$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes29c999.38$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6326745.3%121 W · 146 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked No71c983$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+205.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Yes29c851.72$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2476058.3%35 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6789…52f9backed Yes13c822$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c2a…5f8fbacked Yes3c806$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fe6…d8e3backed Yes18c771$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce25…4e7dbacked Yes11c770$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3734…01a3backed Yes29c721$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+354.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes29c702$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.58250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+354.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0278…00e6backed Yes18c695$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f6…bb1ebacked Yes11c685$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3520%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x656c…af94backed Yes11c682$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64c2…c527backed Yes29c670$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7321…1812backed Yes14c659$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.26366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick20cpaid+257.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1c55…8adebacked Yes11c648$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd07…0058backed Yes29c645$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.05250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a1…8919backed Yes14c638$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked Yes14c629$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.06250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7a9…fee3backed Yes14c629$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ea7…2550backed Yes14c628$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe309…44c2backed Yes11c627$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes14c600$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3de…5339backed Yes14c591$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.74540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-48%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes14c578$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.92333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb767…9b51backed Yes14c577$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7820%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f5…b750backed Yes13c540$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.220%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…7523backed Yes13c522$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked No72c516.82$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8210750.5%54 W · 53 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61ef…b300backed Yes11c499$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc5a…07b6backed Yes29c460.22$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13530%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd7e…275ebacked Yes13c399$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7270…add3backed No56c372$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4061…f5ebbacked No71c369$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes27c360.59$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.365438.9%21 W · 33 L+4.6wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Yes27c354$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5827349.5%135 W · 138 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes29c351.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.681,23153.9%663 W · 568 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22f2…90d7backed Yes13c349$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.37250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes30c345.12$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.5212541.6%52 W · 73 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Yes28c328.57$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes28c306.97$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.641,28253.7%689 W · 593 L+5.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb48…6ad1backed Yes29c306.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.89742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick65cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes30c283.95$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.817722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb593…28eabacked Yes13c277$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.01333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4371…4fd9backed Yes60c274.62$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5be7…46eebacked Yes13c270$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eaa…b550backed Yes14c256$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Yes27c254.95$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.843315.2%5 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes27c250$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes30c247.93$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.3827549.1%135 W · 140 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd41…3796backed Yes13c244$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd215…b4eebacked Yes14c244$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.16250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No70c240.88$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.445556.4%31 W · 24 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x287d…38febacked Yes30c237.83$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.3540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes5c231.47$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6425625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74b8…0c87backed No56c214$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b8…ac4cbacked Yes13c183$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No67c178.72$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.651,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2fca…819abacked Yes31c162.35$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+42.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12c2…aa71backed Yes17c160$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…0918backed Yes13c158$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes13c157$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick13cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405322.6%12 W · 41 L-4.8wins-0.09per pick32cpaid-33.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2097…8b03backed No74c135$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.13083.3%25 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick76cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed No71c115.59$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.977055.7%39 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95c8…3469backed Yes28c114.29$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+29.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f52…eb8bbacked Yes15c101.38$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked No45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Yes26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262646.2%12 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.15per pick31cpaid+65.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No69c98.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.47763.6%49 W · 28 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…ad11backed No69c98.08$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes30c96.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2913739.4%54 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No73c95.57$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.87862.8%49 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4060…e63cbacked Yes31c95.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307746.8%36 W · 41 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes29c89.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262040%8 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No73c85.42$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.248153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes27c83$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.412,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa864…e47bbacked Yes61c82.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-47.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc86b…675cbacked Yes45c72$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.222744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.