TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,243
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$36,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,243 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No52c4,874$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.68,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes20c3,477$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7006827.9%19 W · 49 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd824…528bbacked Yes32c2,891$925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$925.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No65c2,845$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$986.222,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked No77c2,594$1,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.327437.8%28 W · 46 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-42.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910a…91a9backed Yes32c2,170$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.4475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick34cpaid+351.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Yes45c1,900$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.8223542.1%99 W · 136 L-13.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x03a3…fdf4backed No73c1,493$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Yes55c1,417$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.292166.7%14 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x968f…a539backed No68c1,086$738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead6…911fbacked No68c1,032$702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+125%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e16…b78abacked Yes50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45dd…c32ebacked Yes54c998.64$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.271643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb6…cfe8backed No68c982$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe590…87bfbacked No68c971$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-26.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9778…1d7bbacked No68c966$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick40cpaid+428.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked No68c954$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d66…fc54backed Yes12c934$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2145…1e5dbacked Yes12c900$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8132…a491backed No68c813$553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes32c770$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524c…ab94backed No68c761$517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb9f…ee38backed Yes32c682$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70e7…4a70backed Yes32c675$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad8…9756backed Yes32c644$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa647…d77dbacked Yes34c574$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5f…81c0backed No68c564$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c42…1616backed Yes34c553$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43f6…bb1ebacked Yes32c548$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb2b…a065backed Yes32c533$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes32c486$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+205.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4346…2241backed No66c485$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.92100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+127.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x88c4…758bbacked No66c470$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…e974backed Yes33c460$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes23c458.22$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10546530.3%141 W · 324 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x293b…c83bbacked No68c455$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdfe…6108backed No68c405$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45f0…4435backed Yes34c393$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8c…26fdbacked No66c393$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes32c388$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No60c361.88$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.41,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a88…3dadbacked Yes54c349.74$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.8640%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d3d…aa1abacked No67c341$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.53250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Yes21c299.66$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.97722.1%17 W · 60 L-5.5wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0895…4ddebacked No68c258$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.563100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+250%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa36c…5754backed Yes50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01d6…0511backed Yes32c248$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x990e…cecfbacked Yes44c229.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xff0c…36eebacked Yes12c210$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc076…d987backed Yes56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes21c187.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.2871619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Yes32c181.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.62832.1%9 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No79c175.23$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9682434.5%284 W · 540 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes34c175$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b2…f6e2backed Yes59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes16c150.38$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.425625%64 W · 192 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Yes21c120.67$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8213023.1%30 W · 100 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce55…1796backed No67c119$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0c…5292backed Yes49c117.41$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ff8…d7fdbacked Yes49c102.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed No79c100$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2123551.5%121 W · 114 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yes12c92.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.086838.2%26 W · 42 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc105…c1b0backed No58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes16c80.06$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.811,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1972…9dbabacked Yes18c79.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed No79c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.757950.6%40 W · 39 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No49c56.38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.5510875%81 W · 27 L+16.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+25.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No69c55.41$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9818338.8%71 W · 112 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb676…2dbbbacked Yes56c53.9$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303259.4%19 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Yes23c53.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1294848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes32c51$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3227855.4%154 W · 124 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No68c50.94$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.370055.7%390 W · 310 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Yes52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252055%11 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick68cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x668d…e471backed No60c46.94$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x052f…5ef8backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x569b…c66ebacked No59c42.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3718743.9%82 W · 105 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes42c42$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6425044%110 W · 140 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e0…a433backed Yes27c41.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3110826.9%29 W · 79 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28af…7de0backed Yes56c40$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d61…2641backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3aa7…303dbacked No53c35$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.65764.9%37 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd51…ce69backed No54c33.78$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.673256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x22f8…898ebacked No51c30.54$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.86475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+39.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2e…b57fbacked Yes51c27.45$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked No50c25.52$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6919264.1%123 W · 69 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No70c23.41$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.061,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No70c22.69$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed No49c21.1$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7320958.4%122 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a85…e543backed No56c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.764355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4cfd…ba99backed No80c13.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.771566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.