Space · resolved market
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd32ec7135881ae133c918b465eae552d6d8b79b6c6a81b8b34534445697a242
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Spaceevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Space is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Space | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6df6…8458backed Yes | 68c | 3,426$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…c877backed No | 32c | 3,187$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed No | 24c | 1,963$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af2…5212backed No | 24c | 1,640$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked Yes | 77c | 1,538$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.46 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…975ebacked No | 57c | 1,430$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 16c | 1,297$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.44 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked No | 25c | 1,246$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…f352backed Yes | 74c | 1,223$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,026$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…66f2backed No | 25c | 1,022$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Yes | 60c | 977$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605c…83dcbacked Yes | 43c | 894$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11c6…e25ebacked Yes | 62c | 890$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…1690backed Yes | 43c | 870$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7d…5bc1backed No | 78c | 818$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 61c | 796$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed No | 56c | 781$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…b2f4backed Yes | 22c | 775$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93f9backed No | 19c | 760$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed No | 40c | 757$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed No | 56c | 752$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 57c | 751$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked Yes | 59c | 734$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed Yes | 44c | 729$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 26c | 727.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…0933backed Yes | 65c | 690.9$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed Yes | 44c | 648$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6007…9553backed No | 58c | 633$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce55…1796backed Yes | 78c | 624$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Yes | 43c | 617$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…8191backed Yes | 71c | 597$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed No | 58c | 597$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 57c | 592$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed Yes | 43c | 577$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked Yes | 42c | 573$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6543…ecbabacked No | 18c | 559.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked No | 19c | 549$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…f958backed Yes | 43c | 543$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 14c | 527.29$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 5c | 520$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…a539backed No | 38c | 506$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed No | 39c | 487$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed No | 41c | 480$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 17c | 466$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 3c | 465.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…200fbacked No | 18c | 431$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked No | 17c | 418$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x910a…91a9backed No | 57c | 418$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…703cbacked No | 19c | 390$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed No | 38c | 384$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fc…a72fbacked Yes | 63c | 376.21$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x529d…6381backed No | 33c | 371$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 18c | 363.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 42c | 327$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…827bbacked Yes | 58c | 327$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b7…4146backed Yes | 43c | 322$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…bdf1backed No | 19c | 313$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 36c | 310.07$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +267%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed No | 57c | 308$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95e8…6f21backed No | 19c | 302$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 5c | 301.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe98a…9dbfbacked Yes | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed No | 19c | 293$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04f6…311abacked No | 35c | 274.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 12c | 265.88$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…d51bbacked No | 41c | 254$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2eb…5751backed No | 39c | 254$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…28eabacked No | 17c | 243$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…39f0backed No | 56c | 240$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1df…1d2fbacked No | 21c | 233.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed No | 28c | 229.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb1…0eb8backed No | 33c | 228.11$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed No | 40c | 227.09$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 40c | 220$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed No | 17c | 218$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9910…f5f9backed Yes | 78c | 214.46$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb279…5d91backed No | 5c | 209.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 66c | 204.86$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 18c | 204.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc14…2e9bbacked Yes | 59c | 201$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4b…e72fbacked Yes | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…44c4backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 37c | 195.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0d…626abacked Yes | 68c | 165.32$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 8c | 158.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9837…8bf8backed Yes | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 7c | 146.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3776…edb3backed Yes | 69c | 143.77$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x177a…aa8ebacked No | 57c | 143$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked No | 57c | 137$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96e9…4b32backed No | 44c | 135.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c7…be6fbacked No | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked No | 9c | 127.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e46…24debacked Yes | 75c | 119$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf764…1919backed No | 13c | 117.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…d20bbacked Yes | 76c | 110$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc636…5ef9backed Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4867…e1dcbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0218…52c0backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Space and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?this page
- Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?No won
- Will SpaceX have exactly 6 launches in February?No won
- Will SpaceX have exactly 7 launches in February?No won
- Will SpaceX have exactly 8 launches in February?No won
- Will SpaceX have exactly 9 launches in February?No won
- Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 5 launches in February?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.