Middle East · resolved market
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd9f55a4a214da7231a64eb6f43a05f525b51e7bcf714db0c2d3b2fd0fc0c9ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $117,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,508
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $117,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 268 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4dd9…51fbbacked No | 0c | 6,406$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.47per pick | 16cpaid | +304.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed No | 47c | 4,289$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.09 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 29c | 3,663$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.67 | 489 | 23.5%115 W · 374 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked Yes | 70c | 2,262$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.19 | 183 | 38.3%70 W · 113 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…98eebacked Yes | 56c | 1,990$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.65 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 35c | 1,755$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.94 | 382 | 37.7%144 W · 238 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 1,626$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.63 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 2c | 1,378$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 492 | 8.7%43 W · 449 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b45…836ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,362$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.72 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb214…a6aabacked Yes | 42c | 1,216$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.28 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +84.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09bf…b9d6backed Yes | 60c | 1,146$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c1…f1f2backed Yes | 43c | 983$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed No | 28c | 939$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.92 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed Yes | 55c | 937$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.65 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…15ddbacked No | 29c | 930$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 70c | 913$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed No | 60c | 894$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed No | 45c | 885$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb767…9b51backed Yes | 73c | 877$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.79 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d2…39f0backed Yes | 71c | 876$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…115ebacked No | 31c | 865$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.15 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e8…ac57backed No | 34c | 864$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.07 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 58c | 844$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.52 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Yes | 44c | 838$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.28 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1bf…a751backed Yes | 52c | 837$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.76 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 45cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…6bdebacked No | 56c | 832$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.92 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 48c | 823.02$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.33 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7786…7914backed Yes | 40c | 819.01$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.41 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2950…ffeabacked Yes | 51c | 816$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.84 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…a794backed Yes | 75c | 800$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +83.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…7572backed Yes | 53c | 799$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.53 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 29c | 789$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.81 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed Yes | 40c | 777$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.2 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc536…589ebacked Yes | 72c | 759$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb74c…9c72backed No | 48c | 754$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.92 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 47c | 742$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…46eebacked No | 49c | 740$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked No | 30c | 736$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 39c | 728.09$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.2 | 77 | 9.1%7 W · 70 L | -7.4wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed No | 28c | 703$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x851c…346cbacked Yes | 65c | 693.63$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ab…56e8backed No | 60c | 688$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…6e2ebacked No | 29c | 679$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.91 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +128.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5829…e46bbacked No | 56c | 653$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked Yes | 52c | 641$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.68 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +105.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed No | 48c | 637$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +33%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 53c | 636$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.08 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…3ea7backed Yes | 58c | 632$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac7…78c7backed No | 47c | 627$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…0d60backed Yes | 51c | 616$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.48 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed No | 25c | 587$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 56c | 562$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…8e46backed No | 29c | 551$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.79 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf7…fbeabacked Yes | 71c | 535.11$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.82 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…9c85backed No | 40c | 530$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…8dcebacked Yes | 50c | 528$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe584…36b2backed No | 57c | 523$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7e…275ebacked No | 42c | 522$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…b2efbacked Yes | 72c | 522$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.16 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x523d…cc1dbacked No | 27c | 507$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.89 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3684…9669backed Yes | 71c | 507$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.03 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50eb…c59fbacked No | 49c | 505$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b3…eddcbacked Yes | 54c | 501.45$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.52 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff1…85cdbacked Yes | 51c | 501$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.49 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7f46…01b1backed No | 49c | 489$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.01 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…6d62backed No | 58c | 479.14$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.26 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b2…9ae2backed Yes | 71c | 479$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…f8a1backed No | 56c | 478$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.68 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 44c | 468$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ef…b300backed Yes | 71c | 464$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe794…321cbacked No | 58c | 462$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591c…390dbacked Yes | 42c | 462$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.96 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b74…93f7backed No | 39c | 457$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.7 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce25…4e7dbacked No | 28c | 451$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.02 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked Yes | 41c | 448$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 36cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…4805backed No | 59c | 448$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Yes | 74c | 438$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 61cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…e065backed No | 57c | 430$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.1 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dae…e45abacked No | 34c | 426.67$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc319…6baabacked Yes | 71c | 423$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf8…c7afbacked No | 27c | 417$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.59 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3e…f9d4backed Yes | 72c | 417$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.76 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed No | 47c | 409.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.7 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 42c | 399$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.58 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 15c | 398.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…57e8backed No | 45c | 393$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 55c | 393$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.85 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…3d05backed No | 48c | 382$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…293cbacked Yes | 52c | 382$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1184…1b67backed Yes | 69c | 376$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 52c | 375$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7233…f0eabacked Yes | 51c | 374$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda64…9bc5backed Yes | 53c | 374$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…e1efbacked No | 47c | 374$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 49cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccc2…271abacked No | 50c | 372$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 48cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 47c | 366$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.98 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed No | 53c | 366$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.98 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes | 43c | 359$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.63 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 71c | 355$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04c…44ffbacked No | 50c | 353$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?this page
- U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.