NFL · resolved market
Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x502938da9ca91d720b5c52dcd8e354ee15250ecad64a5148eba0f73250c2878b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,255
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c9a…f183backed Yes | 70c | 1,491$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed Yes | 76c | 898$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f85…e5a3backed No | 30c | 745$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…87bfbacked No | 24c | 654$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…7652backed Yes | 57c | 600$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c08…7307backed No | 26c | 554.04$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.38 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +180.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d5…2e11backed No | 30c | 498.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.23 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b8…84e3backed Yes | 72c | 495$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked No | 28c | 495$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 30cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x374b…9a1fbacked No | 15c | 384$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe433…1700backed No | 29c | 321$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked Yes | 71c | 321$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…4d86backed No | 30c | 269$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Yes | 70c | 269$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…91fdbacked Yes | 71c | 264$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ce…2213backed No | 29c | 264$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 27cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 17c | 250$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 30c | 237$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 36c | 205.26$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 18c | 191.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.45 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a9…fee3backed No | 24c | 163$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 16c | 126.06$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.35 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked No | 20c | 123.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed Yes | 35c | 118.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb835…2e51backed No | 28c | 110.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1727…680ebacked No | 23c | 108.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +367.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 67c | 101.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +9.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8132…a491backed No | 24c | 81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.56 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 18c | 80.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 368 | 26.9%99 W · 269 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 24c | 75.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.64 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked Yes | 75c | 30.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 58cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed No | 70c | 21.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…9d2fbacked Yes | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?this page
- Will "Ann Michael Maye" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Apple" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Assault" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Bakemas" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Blowout" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Comeback" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Crypto" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Emerald City Route Artist" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Touchback" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Unbelievable" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Underdog" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.