NFL · resolved market
Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x03917b099e71bb4f8b06f3c9682b507efbea0a9cfecd3fdb4672e3bda8600d5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,180
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,961
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,180 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes | 20c | 1,212$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 24c | 1,131$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.06 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…dae1backed Yes | 20c | 830$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82a7…afb5backed No | 80c | 822$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes | 20c | 819$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 22cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed Yes | 57c | 803$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…21c3backed No | 43c | 756$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd137…ceacbacked No | 80c | 751$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 76c | 726.48$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.96 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 20c | 725$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f2…95debacked No | 80c | 714$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…23c3backed Yes | 20c | 706$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked No | 80c | 547$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd22a…ac22backed No | 80c | 534$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked No | 80c | 492$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca87…3701backed No | 80c | 214$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 29c | 178.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.37 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaefa…f98ebacked No | 80c | 131$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x164c…3e39backed No | 20c | 108.35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0759…9294backed Yes | 80c | 93.75$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 78c | 68.32$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 80c | 68$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f2…7c7dbacked Yes | 68c | 63.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 77c | 52.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac16…4f44backed No | 25c | 49.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 32cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 43c | 47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 29cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x369f…9243backed Yes | 74c | 33.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 32.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 567 | 9.9%56 W · 511 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…7ba9backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff6a…0651backed Yes | 70c | 28.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 66c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f5…da55backed Yes | 63c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 107 | 31.8%34 W · 73 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -44%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392f…4428backed Yes | 59c | 18.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…9f9ebacked Yes | 57c | 17.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?this page
- Will "Ann Michael Maye" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Apple" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Assault" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Bakemas" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Blowout" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Comeback" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Crypto" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Emerald City Route Artist" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Touchback" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Unbelievable" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Underdog" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.