NFL · resolved market
Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79d72fc2005702283dfaa9134ca5a182c87777e2cd1fab5f914df8ea34d4184e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,002
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,002 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b1b…5951backed No | 72c | 1,005$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc9…0e6ebacked Yes | 28c | 1,005$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$723.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 31c | 965$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7086…f376backed No | 69c | 928$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45f0…4435backed Yes | 31c | 849$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…f958backed No | 69c | 804$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked Yes | 31c | 714$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f7…5d56backed No | 5c | 608$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee9e…efb7backed No | 69c | 512$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.28 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d48…d6f1backed Yes | 31c | 439$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +222.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed No | 69c | 439$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 76cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed No | 68c | 416$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9bd…4d4cbacked Yes | 32c | 416$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…41f6backed No | 69c | 202$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd6…292fbacked No | 25c | 134.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f83…7252backed No | 41c | 120$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd70e…0ac1backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a6f0backed No | 69c | 37$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 45cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 25 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Style" be said at the Super Bowl?this page
- Will "Ann Michael Maye" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Apple" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Assault" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Bakemas" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Blowout" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Comeback" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Concussion" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Crypto" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Emerald City Route Artist" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Flushed out" or "Flush out" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "ICE" or "Border Patrol" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Jump ball" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Legendary" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Mahomes" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Now here's a guy" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Olympics" or "Olympic" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "President" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Spanish" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Touchback" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Trump" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
- Will "Unbelievable" be said at the Super Bowl?Yes won
- Will "Underdog" be said at the Super Bowl?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.