Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Oregon State Beavers vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60d4dbf22f6d36fa7a1976781daa53b607dc9fe3b3f0cad995bac10503b35ee5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saint Mary's Gaelsof Oregon State Beavers, Saint Mary's Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,491
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,491 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe309…44c2backed Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 713$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…2bcdbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +249.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…9238backed Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 304$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 32cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d4…be7cbacked Saint Mary's Gaels | 49c | 274$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b72…cd8ebacked Oregon State Beavers | 51c | 274$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +156.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Oregon State Beavers | 7c | 142.86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Oregon State Beavers | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x544e…dc84backed Oregon State Beavers | 18c | 101$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b3…538abacked Oregon State Beavers | 18c | 98.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca13…76aebacked Oregon State Beavers | 18c | 97.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042c…6f51backed Oregon State Beavers | 18c | 91.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…337cbacked Oregon State Beavers | 18c | 90.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ac…3598backed Oregon State Beavers | 18c | 79.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb7…e891backed Oregon State Beavers | 18c | 65.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.