TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Will Karl-Anthony Towns lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$112,909

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes3c3,383$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.69516.8%16 W · 79 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-48.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf317…a538backed Yes1c1,698$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38d6…e50fbacked Yes14c1,264$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.961136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes12c1,056$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.763033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x636c…ea28backed Yes15c1,019$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.34911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-84.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes15c917$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.922548%12 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+62.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes11c879.4$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.0240133.4%134 W · 267 L+27.0wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes16c867.54$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.046319%12 W · 51 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6789…52f9backed Yes12c858$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.961346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca36…bb1dbacked Yes15c844$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.62045%9 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…d7aabacked No80c843$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.61741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x636a…09aabacked Yes20c816$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.22045%9 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa15b…200fbacked Yes14c806$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.841546.7%7 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+20.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes13c784$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.921435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b2…9ae2backed No80c752$602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.42030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes7c745.27$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.95894.5%4 W · 85 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd719…d8e5backed No78c739$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.583243.8%14 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes8c693.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0215010%15 W · 135 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-33.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde45…8238backed Yes13c678$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.14862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2fd…f0b5backed Yes12c675$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+43.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d2b…fd2cbacked Yes20c663$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.62147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x933c…a8c6backed Yes8c558.91$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8418246.7%85 W · 97 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b63…bb9cbacked Yes14c554$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.56837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes3c527.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.928020%16 W · 64 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x682f…fc69backed Yes12c508$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.96944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66a7…6569backed Yes17c495$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.151241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa2b1…0005backed Yes15c485$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1bf…a751backed Yes7c478$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.462157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd0af…7ec6backed Yes13c420$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.6742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x848d…76c1backed Yes7c417$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.993145.2%14 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc123…115cbacked No77c413$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.992343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x809a…f315backed Yes24c403$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.722240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes8c380.58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.91,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa05d…3e96backed Yes22c364$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.084235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7407…19bebacked No80c361$289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.22445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ae0…4590backed Yes20c361$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.22352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+56.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes3c356.08$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.487915.2%12 W · 67 L+5.5wins+0.07per pick8cpaid+0.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb8…f285backed Yes6c330$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.82828.6%8 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x319c…4a94backed Yes14c320$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.81145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+25.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf49…6cfebacked No76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$722544%11 W · 14 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0c…6279backed Yes16c294$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+58.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97b6…41a6backed Yes32c286.59$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.67616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-61.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe0b8…0ec1backed Yes15c282$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e9…8e90backed Yes12c281$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.721050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f5…b461backed Yes23c279$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.173135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked Yes20c261$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.132326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-36.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2f2f…a8aabacked Yes14c259$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.261457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9ea1…6487backed Yes12c254$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314047.5%19 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes14c230.69$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.131,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Yes16c229.78$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6322041.4%91 W · 129 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e57…6c04backed Yes5c227$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.351421.4%3 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc80…7bd2backed Yes9c216$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.441330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes14c214$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.961060%6 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5518…1211backed Yes17c213$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.212347.8%11 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…2393backed Yes6c205$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.32850%14 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+117%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7cc2…40d7backed Yes22c204$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.881931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick38cpaid+14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9645…19efbacked Yes6c200$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes13c199.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.4742744.5%190 W · 237 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes20c195.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.732,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f0…669dbacked Yes8c176$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.082744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce65…66fdbacked Yes14c174$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.361233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5544…802abacked Yes8c172$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d26…c9f4backed Yes12c170$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa55b…857bbacked Yes12c157$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.841030%3 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffaf…b675backed Yes9c152$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.181172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c57…c2e0backed Yes8c152$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.162254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x117f…088ebacked Yes10c152$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x53ec…df91backed Yes8c151.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6422750.2%114 W · 113 L+24.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+6.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5e47…db27backed Yes13c145$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.851861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0b32…c8a9backed Yes8c145$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-38.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3359…2273backed Yes23c134$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.821560%9 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46ce…c842backed Yes21c129.19$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.545715.8%9 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-36.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef14…bf21backed Yes14c119$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.661315.4%2 W · 11 L-4.2wins-0.32per pick47cpaid-38.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8349…69e5backed Yes13c117$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.211668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.0wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+72%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9264…3734backed Yes14c111$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.542050%10 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+40.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x506a…1b43backed Yes15c107$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.051850%9 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+29.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea25…d3aabacked Yes14c107$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.982951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes12c103$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.362556%14 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb338…1ff0backed No76c103$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.723339.4%13 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9081…0b1ebacked No79c95$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.411752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf841…b2ebbacked Yes17c88.95$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9714049.3%69 W · 71 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes15c86$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72c…bbf0backed Yes14c84$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.761330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x214e…3c01backed Yes31c80.07$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.691216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick22cpaid+73.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f85…e5a3backed Yes16c69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.042152.4%11 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick32cpaid+209.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4916…f56fbacked Yes21c67.66$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.285843.1%25 W · 33 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe381…3ba9backed Yes18c66.13$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.22615.4%4 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-64%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb711…8134backed Yes32c61.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.961428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-47.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ae…ba41backed Yes30c56.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174544.4%20 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c5…4c23backed Yes20c52$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.42147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd5…efd0backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6e…99eabacked No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab88…e0a4backed Yes23c47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.812846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x401e…6fc9backed No74c21.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.661546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.