NBA · resolved market

Will Ivica Zubac lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64dabd90cfbc4e41581fff4b7771813756fd9b0c207ce4dd8ddb20e42e72cc4a

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $26,901
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $21,505

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,901 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x66a1…80d9backed Yes	3c	2,034$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.25	79	15.2%12 W · 67 L	+5.5wins	+0.07per pick	8cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x086a…1435backed Yes	3c	1,182$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.22	63	19%12 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes	8c	931.38$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.47	401	33.4%134 W · 267 L	+27.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7d4…5735backed Yes	11c	849$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.39	33	57.6%19 W · 14 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	732.71$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.57	89	4.5%4 W · 85 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd622…defcbacked Yes	11c	535$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.85	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	+2.1wins	+0.07per pick	42cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x98cb…a127backed Yes	11c	457$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.27	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa906…84e4backed Yes	11c	362$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.82	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+1.8wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1446…0a30backed Yes	4c	299.98$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf738…56bdbacked Yes	11c	253$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.83	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb85b…77dbbacked Yes	11c	253$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.83	37	37.8%14 W · 23 L	-4.1wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-44.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x59d7…0217backed Yes	11c	251$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.61	15	60%9 W · 6 L	+1.9wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes	11c	250$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.5	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+17%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84d6…bca9backed Yes	10c	179$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.9	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+72%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5056…f991backed Yes	11c	135$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.85	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91be…2641backed Yes	11c	128$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.08	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…2bcdbacked Yes	10c	123$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+61.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f7d…a315backed Yes	11c	111$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.21	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-55%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Ivica Zubac lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event