World Politics · resolved market
Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57cb75e61d901fcbf810652ed1edde7d0c9dde42260a55b28dc2a0e6cf9209cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,746
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,179
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,746 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x62cf…5826backed No | 64c | 4,633$2,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.94 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 35c | 2,701$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.35 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 37c | 2,016$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.02 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…e1afbacked Yes | 8c | 1,491$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.47 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 14cpaid | +172.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf6…559dbacked Yes | 3c | 1,270$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130f…fc43backed Yes | 41c | 522$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 30c | 435$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 284 | 34.2%97 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 28c | 380$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d17…1e5ebacked No | 58c | 352$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.04 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed No | 59c | 345$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde2b…73a0backed No | 59c | 343$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked Yes | 35c | 339.39$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.59 | 432 | 43.1%186 W · 246 L | +29.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5e22backed Yes | 6c | 331.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 34cpaid | +189.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 42c | 328$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.97 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe539…5345backed No | 57c | 321$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.03 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 47cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf7…29fdbacked Yes | 39c | 284.62$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +232.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cb…ac3dbacked No | 60c | 279$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 59c | 271$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…3c8ebacked Yes | 43c | 271$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…5daebacked Yes | 39c | 256.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…0c32backed No | 59c | 239$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97ed…28e1backed Yes | 41c | 219$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 32c | 218.34$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.19 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Yes | 36c | 217.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb132…6943backed Yes | 42c | 213.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5cf…90e6backed Yes | 43c | 212$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x358d…7602backed Yes | 40c | 187$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf23e…aec3backed No | 66c | 183$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e4…09dcbacked No | 60c | 179$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 58c | 178$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…1dcfbacked Yes | 41c | 178$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4d…b46ebacked Yes | 42c | 175$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed Yes | 43c | 169$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.67 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ba…c705backed No | 58c | 169$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +69%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c5…dcb1backed Yes | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 40c | 160$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…ee5abacked No | 57c | 156$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.08 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…0c03backed No | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…1bb5backed No | 57c | 139$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.77 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +291.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…3811backed Yes | 41c | 134$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked Yes | 45c | 131$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…e748backed Yes | 34c | 129$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4faa…fecfbacked Yes | 41c | 127$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.07 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…6b99backed No | 80c | 127$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed Yes | 41c | 126$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.66 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb50c…8c30backed No | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 41c | 123$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b4…c17abacked No | 57c | 121$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b40…9ebfbacked Yes | 42c | 119.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 41c | 115$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed Yes | 41c | 114$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.74 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…b461backed No | 57c | 110$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf8…ded2backed No | 59c | 104$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked No | 55c | 103$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked No | 59c | 101$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3474…0571backed No | 59c | 99.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.99 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 284 | 30.3%86 W · 198 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…0430backed Yes | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +68%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 59c | 97$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe53d…8ab8backed No | 58c | 93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…a1ffbacked Yes | 34c | 92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed No | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bae…8200backed Yes | 40c | 91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked Yes | 40c | 90$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea25…d3aabacked No | 59c | 87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a40…904bbacked No | 60c | 86$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0cb…ab6abacked No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x117f…088ebacked Yes | 40c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd40d…b2fabacked Yes | 20c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 39cpaid | +125%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 41c | 63.13$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…d0c7backed Yes | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 66c | 58.82$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked No | 65c | 57.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…68b9backed Yes | 41c | 55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa99d…dd2cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b71…f1d9backed No | 60c | 43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x098f…47cdbacked No | 59c | 42.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked No | 59c | 41.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a8…f658backed Yes | 40c | 41$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…9f48backed No | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…50ecbacked No | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +98.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fea…e711backed No | 64c | 37.83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf153…bad1backed No | 59c | 35.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce65…66fdbacked No | 60c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…bcf0backed Yes | 41c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac7…dc0bbacked No | 58c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed No | 60c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 58c | 24.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 260 | 52.3%136 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3359…2273backed No | 55c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed No | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 59c | 17.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.31 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb547…a237backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +79.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 25% and 30% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?this page
- Will Ciprian Ciucu get at least 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 20% and 25% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 30% and 35% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?No won
- Will Ciprian Ciucu get between 35% and 40% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.