Movies · resolved market
Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf24cd65296bb6547927050f4eb662049e00fde587b05cf8621523726a96cabd9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 323 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 3,409$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.1 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed No | 1c | 2,120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…e4a9backed No | 28c | 1,060$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.27 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7407…19bebacked No | 31c | 994$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.09 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 30c | 981$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.24 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf25d…8b1ebacked Yes | 69c | 919$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.69 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 39c | 894.7$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.38 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6335…ca2bbacked No | 28c | 874.67$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.61 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked No | 29c | 859.86$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d34…7c14backed Yes | 71c | 799.95$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.99 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 31c | 792$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.94 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked Yes | 69c | 769$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.31 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…db2abacked No | 30c | 730$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.46 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 70c | 725$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.95 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff74…24f0backed Yes | 69c | 722$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7775…6cb4backed Yes | 69c | 717$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1063…1d3fbacked Yes | 70c | 682$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.6 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 21c | 647.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed No | 29c | 646$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed No | 11c | 636.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 84 | 22.6%19 W · 65 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes | 71c | 630.92$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.72 | 157 | 39.5%62 W · 95 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb04e…d4aabacked No | 34c | 591.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ef…79d6backed Yes | 69c | 581$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.43 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 30c | 572$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.32 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…6f2ebacked No | 33c | 528$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…b6debacked Yes | 77c | 517.82$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f3…09e0backed Yes | 70c | 513$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.44 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d26…c9f4backed No | 30c | 467$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x941a…90c4backed Yes | 70c | 433$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19cd…f7ffbacked No | 30c | 431$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.3 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…0b1ebacked Yes | 70c | 418$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 28c | 407.65$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x520d…babebacked Yes | 60c | 400.11$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.9 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…2923backed Yes | 69c | 397$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…554fbacked Yes | 80c | 389.44$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.89 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…0f0fbacked No | 31c | 383$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 73c | 370.9$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.9 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked No | 31c | 361$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.47 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 32c | 356$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.92 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…71b6backed No | 4c | 355.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8374…9149backed No | 17c | 339$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5383…88f0backed No | 31c | 326$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.36 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed No | 31c | 316$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.7 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8151…7259backed No | 32c | 312$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -58%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 72c | 311$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e36…2479backed Yes | 69c | 302$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…2241backed No | 31c | 302$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.22 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 22c | 298.54$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.53 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21d2…3e62backed No | 30c | 294$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 70c | 294$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.08 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f55…580cbacked Yes | 71c | 281.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.44 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6c…641cbacked No | 26c | 279$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b3…a026backed Yes | 67c | 276$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked No | 31c | 273$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e5…d252backed No | 31c | 256$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bb…e885backed No | 31c | 255$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.07 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 18c | 254.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.11 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92d5…cb83backed Yes | 67c | 252$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa403…8406backed No | 25c | 246$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed No | 31c | 245$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.46 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab38…77febacked No | 32c | 240$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.56 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9774…6d3cbacked Yes | 69c | 231$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…af89backed No | 29c | 230$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2966…e9b9backed Yes | 71c | 230$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 32c | 225.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.18 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 28c | 216.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 49cpaid | -77.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e47…db27backed No | 31c | 213$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.46 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf666…8842backed Yes | 69c | 213$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e0…a107backed No | 25c | 210$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3321…fefbbacked Yes | 72c | 207.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba6…0fbdbacked Yes | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.8 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 25c | 187.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.46 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…c4edbacked Yes | 72c | 185.44$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f34…6c53backed No | 25c | 180$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 70c | 173$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 194 | 40.2%78 W · 116 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 26c | 165.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72dd…8be4backed Yes | 69c | 164$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 70c | 158$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8522…83b7backed No | 25c | 158$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2b…ebedbacked Yes | 70c | 155$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 34cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…4441backed Yes | 69c | 154$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbff…5830backed Yes | 30c | 151.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +60.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…2527backed Yes | 72c | 149.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.75 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0192…ba59backed Yes | 74c | 147.65$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03d8…7631backed No | 25c | 141$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8e…8db8backed Yes | 66c | 140$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.18 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +6.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…7a9ebacked No | 25c | 139$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 17c | 138.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…1409backed Yes | 73c | 137.87$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f83…7bf4backed Yes | 74c | 135.36$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.35 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…1417backed No | 25c | 134$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…dca0backed No | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…c407backed No | 26c | 119$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 72c | 117.26$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e96…c895backed No | 31c | 115$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f35…d295backed No | 32c | 111$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2100…2e40backed Yes | 76c | 105.62$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf02…31dbbacked No | 25c | 104$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 32c | 103.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Oscar Isaac (Frankenstein) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Rami Malek (Nuremberg) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.