Movies · resolved market
Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea7aaa7c4724474a83316398218d18569b601b49b1e220b6aa2b798a2f18f08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,127
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 24c | 1,519$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.08 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 27c | 716.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.48 | 178 | 21.3%38 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 25c | 696$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.29 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 25c | 666.1$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.38 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…9f12backed No | 80c | 659$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Yes | 28c | 650$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.92 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…f4d1backed Yes | 20c | 588$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 22c | 574$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Yes | 26c | 508.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 184 | 44%81 W · 103 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5c…91bfbacked No | 78c | 447$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…f315backed No | 80c | 405$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…bbffbacked Yes | 26c | 377.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf8…6ea3backed Yes | 17c | 331$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 71c | 329.57$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed No | 78c | 308.88$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.57 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ace…6069backed Yes | 26c | 299.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Yes | 22c | 285.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…0512backed Yes | 24c | 272.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 260.83$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.91 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 254.18$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 365 | 38.1%139 W · 226 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62b…844abacked No | 79c | 253.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.07 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 73c | 247$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 72c | 234.53$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.69 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe918…d166backed No | 80c | 228$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 20c | 228$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…f00ebacked Yes | 20c | 217$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…71b6backed No | 68c | 206.53$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.22 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked Yes | 20c | 188$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed09…3073backed Yes | 17c | 184$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 75c | 169.14$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 231 | 30.3%70 W · 161 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1d…a1e3backed Yes | 25c | 168.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 164.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.16 | 1,394 | 8%111 W · 1,283 L | -47.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…9775backed Yes | 19c | 147$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0e…fb12backed Yes | 22c | 144$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…d88abacked Yes | 17c | 143$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe513…b842backed Yes | 20c | 142$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 20c | 138.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…2784backed Yes | 17c | 128$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x750b…7a65backed No | 78c | 127$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.94 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cf…f37cbacked Yes | 17c | 116$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…0f57backed Yes | 26c | 115.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 75c | 110.21$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 230 | 41.7%96 W · 134 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 80c | 107.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9b05…078abacked Yes | 24c | 104.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396e…340fbacked Yes | 21c | 103$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2b…b0f9backed Yes | 21c | 101$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 13c | 100.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.21 | 170 | 10%17 W · 153 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb457…c3ffbacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 1,218 | 17.8%217 W · 1,001 L | -124.0wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 70c | 98.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.18 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d4…ac0dbacked Yes | 22c | 98.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…ce64backed Yes | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 74c | 91.48$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 143 | 37.1%53 W · 90 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…4d05backed No | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…b4abbacked Yes | 17c | 89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x370b…5f2cbacked Yes | 23c | 88.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fb…706bbacked Yes | 17c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 77c | 82.83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 90 | 21.1%19 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…8816backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…0fe5backed Yes | 17c | 76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 19c | 75.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fdc3backed Yes | 25c | 75.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8f…9320backed Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03b2…567cbacked No | 80c | 71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416b…bad6backed Yes | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…691fbacked Yes | 18c | 69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked No | 76c | 65.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 131 | 30.5%40 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…3e7dbacked Yes | 17c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4597…7dd0backed Yes | 20c | 64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f2…cbc8backed Yes | 21c | 63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…9ed0backed Yes | 22c | 59.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86cb…6c6dbacked No | 78c | 58.04$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…3eebbacked No | 80c | 56.25$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4d…7981backed Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04dd…254abacked No | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…55eabacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x758b…0a1cbacked No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a9…ce37backed No | 71c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 65cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c4…b3f9backed Yes | 24c | 47.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…ca01backed No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…672bbacked Yes | 31c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…16aebacked No | 78c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3376…3c7fbacked No | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…09ddbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…2a8ebacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…b8dbbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed No | 66c | 39.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.57 | 206 | 68.9%142 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e3…e43fbacked No | 79c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18e2…9b0dbacked No | 79c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea4f…73c0backed No | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8512…7f2cbacked No | 76c | 33.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…d112backed No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee9…9dabbacked No | 79c | 33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e7…e5d6backed No | 79c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae70…25f4backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd1…b1c7backed No | 79c | 31$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 74c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.17 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 77cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x029c…5137backed No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…58d7backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Michael B. Jordan (Sinners) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?this page
- Will Dwayne Johnson (The Smashing Machine) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Jeremy Allen White (Springsteen: Deliver Me from Nowhere) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Joel Edgerton (Train Dreams) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio (One Battle After Another) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Oscar Isaac (Frankenstein) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Rami Malek (Nuremberg) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?No won
- Will Wagner Moura (The Secret Agent) win Best Actor – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.